Statistics for Business and Economics
8th Edition
ISBN: 9780132745659
Author: Paul Newbold, William Carlson, Betty Thorne
Publisher: PEARSON
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Question
Chapter 3.3, Problem 45E
To determine
The probability that a high-risk borrower will default.
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Consider two local banks. Bank A has 100 loans outstanding, each for $0.9 million, that it expects will be repaid today. Each loan has a 7% probability of default, in which case the bank is not repaid anything. The chance of default is independent across all the loans. Bank B has only one loan of $90 million outstanding, which it also expects will be repaid today. It also has a 7% probability of not being repaid. Calculate the following: a. The expected overall payoff of each bank. b. The standard deviation of the overall payoff of each bank.
What is the expected return from an investment if there is a 20 percent chance of a 4 percent return, a 40 percent chance of a 8 percent return, and a 40 percent chance of a 12 percent return
4) You are a financial professional working in a corporate loan department. A company named
Mitch Hedberg Inc. (MH) comes to you for a loan. MH has debt from a previous loan (given
by a different firm than yours) of 200. Your company analysts say that MH is likely to earn
either 180, 240, or 300 this year - each with a probability of 1/3. MH wants you to lend them
100. MH could use this borrowed 100 to do either project X or project Y. Project X has a
guaranteed return of 125 if the 100 is put there. Project Y may return either 0 or 210; each has
probability of 1/2 and also costs 100 to do.
a) Which project, X or Y, has the larger expected value?
b)
If you lend MH the 100, what will they do with the money? Why? Show your math.
c) Should you lend MH the money or not? Show your math.
d)
Why did I choose the letters "MH" for this problem? What financial economic concept
with initials "MH" is important in this problem?
Chapter 3 Solutions
Statistics for Business and Economics
Ch. 3.1 - Prob. 1ECh. 3.1 - Prob. 2ECh. 3.1 - Prob. 3ECh. 3.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 3.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 3.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 3.1 - Prob. 7ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 10E
Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 11ECh. 3.2 - In a city of 180,000 people there are 20,000 legal...Ch. 3.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 14ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 16ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 17ECh. 3.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 27ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 37ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 38ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 39ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 40ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 41ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 42ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 43ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 44ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 45ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 46ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 47ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 48ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 49ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 50ECh. 3.3 - Prob. 51ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 52ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 53ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 54ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 55ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 56ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 57ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 58ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 59ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 60ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 61ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 62ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 63ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 64ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 65ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 66ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 67ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 68ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 69ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 70ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 71ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 72ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 73ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 74ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 75ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 76ECh. 3.4 - Prob. 77ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 78ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 79ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 80ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 81ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 82ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 83ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 84ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 85ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 86ECh. 3.5 - Prob. 87ECh. 3 - Prob. 88ECh. 3 - Prob. 89ECh. 3 - Prob. 90ECh. 3 - Prob. 91ECh. 3 - Prob. 92ECh. 3 - Prob. 93ECh. 3 - Prob. 94ECh. 3 - Prob. 95ECh. 3 - Prob. 96ECh. 3 - Prob. 97ECh. 3 - Prob. 98ECh. 3 - Prob. 99ECh. 3 - Prob. 100ECh. 3 - Prob. 101ECh. 3 - Prob. 102ECh. 3 - Prob. 103ECh. 3 - Prob. 104ECh. 3 - Prob. 105ECh. 3 - Prob. 106ECh. 3 - Prob. 107ECh. 3 - Prob. 108ECh. 3 - Prob. 109ECh. 3 - Prob. 110ECh. 3 - Prob. 111ECh. 3 - Prob. 112ECh. 3 - Prob. 113ECh. 3 - Prob. 114ECh. 3 - Prob. 115ECh. 3 - Prob. 116ECh. 3 - Prob. 117ECh. 3 - Prob. 118ECh. 3 - Prob. 119ECh. 3 - Prob. 120ECh. 3 - Prob. 121ECh. 3 - Prob. 122E
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- If a bank charges no fees and doesn't require a compensating balance, what credit spread must the bank charge on top of a base rate of 5% to have an expected return on the loan of 6%? The bank estimates a 3.5% probability of default, and it will earn a return of 0% if there is a default. 9.84% 3.5% 4.84% 8.50%arrow_forwardList three different ways that a risk-averse person can reduce financial risk.arrow_forwardDefine risk-seeking.arrow_forward
- You have $1,000 that you can invest. If you buy Ford stock, you face the following returns and probabilities from holding the stock for one year: with a probability of 0.2 you will get $1,500; with a probability of 0.4 you will get $1,100; and with a probability of 0.4 you will get $900. If you put the money into the bank, in one year’s time you will get $1,100 for certain. a) What is the expected value of your earnings from investing in Ford stock? b) Suppose you are risk-averse. Can we say for sure whether you will invest in Ford stock or put your money into the bank?arrow_forwardSuppose you visit with a financial adviser, and you are considering investing some of your wealth in one of three investment portfolios stocks, bonds, or commodities. Your financial adviser provides you with the following table, which gives the probabilities of possible returns from each investment To maximize your expected return, you should choose: Stocks Bonds Probability Return Probability Return 0.15 20% 0.15 16.7% 06 10% T 04 7.5% 0.25 8% 0.45 3.3% OA bonds OB stocks OC. commodities OD. All of the portfolios have the same expected return. If you are risk-averse and had to choose between the stock or the bond investments, you would choose OA the stock portfolio because there is less uncertainty over the outcome OB. the bond portfolio because there is less uncertainty over the outcome. OC. the stock portfolio because of greater expected return. OD. the bond portfolio because of greater expected return. Commodities Probability Return 02 20% 0.2 15% 0.2 8% 02 02 5% 0%arrow_forwardYuri owns just one ship, he calls it Previt. The ship is worth $25 million dollars. If the ship sinks, Yuri loses $25 million. The probability that it will sink is .02. Yuri's total wealth, including the value of the ship is $50 million. He is an expected utility maximizer with utility U(W) equal to W?. What is the maximum amount that Yuri would be willing to pay in order to be fully insured against the risk of losing his ship? a. $4 million b. $ 1.96 million c. $ 0.39 million d. $ 3.9 million e. $ 5.96 million f. None of the above, the right answer is:arrow_forward
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