Your company has a customer who is shutting down a production line, and it is your responsibility to dispose of the extrusion machine. The company could keep it in inventory for a possible future product and estimates that the reservation value is $350,000. Your dealings on the secondhand market lead you to believe that if you commit to a price of $400,000, there is a 0.5 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $450,000, there is a 0.2 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $500,000, there is a 0.15 chance you will be able to sell the machine. These probabilities are summarized in the following table. For each posted price, enter the expected value of attempting to sell the machine at that price. (Hint: Be sure to take into account the value of the machine to your company in the event that you are not be able to sell the machine.) Posted Price Probability of Sale Expected Value ($) ($) $500,000 0.15 $450,000 0.2 $400,000 0.5 Assume you must commit to one posted price. In order to maximize the expected profit of the potential sale, which posted price would you commit to in order to maximize the expected value of the potential sale of the machine? $500,000 $400,000 $450,000

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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Your company has a customer who is shutting down a production line, and it is your responsibility to dispose of the extrusion machine. The company could keep it in inventory for a possible future product and estimates that the reservation value is $350,000. Your dealings on the secondhand market lead you to believe that if you commit to a price of $400,000, there is a 0.5 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $450,000, there is a 0.2 chance you will be able to sell the machine. If you commit to a price of $500,000, there is a 0.15 chance you will be able to sell the machine. These probabilities are summarized in the following table.

For each posted price, enter the expected value of attempting to sell the machine at that price. (Hint: Be sure to take into account the value of the machine to your company in the event that you are not be able to sell the machine.)

Posted Price	Probability of Sale	Expected Value
($)	($)
$500,000	0.15
$450,000	0.2
$400,000	0.5

Assume you must commit to one posted price.

In order to maximize the expected profit of the potential sale, which posted price would you commit to in order to maximize the expected value of the potential sale of the machine?

$500,000

$400,000

$450,000

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