Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences
9th Edition
ISBN: 9781305251809
Author: Jay L. Devore
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Textbook Question
Chapter 8, Problem 64SE
Annual holdings turnover for a mutual fund is the percentage of a fund’s assets that are sold during a particular year. Generally speaking, a fund with a low value of turnover is more stable and risk averse, whereas a high value of turnover indicates a substantial amount of buying and selling in an attempt to take advantage of short-term market fluctuations. Here are values of turnover for a sample of 20 large-cap blended funds (refer to Exercise 1.53 for a bit more information) extracted from Morningstar.com:
- a. Would you use the one-sample t test to decide whether there is compelling evidence for concluding that the population mean turnover is less than 100%? Explain.
- b. A normal probability plot of the 20 ln(turnover) values shows a very pronounced linear pattern, suggesting it is reasonable to assume that the turnover distribution is lognormal. Recall that X has a lognormal distribution if In(X) is
normally distributed withmean value μ and variance σ2. Because μ, is also themedian of the ln(X) distribution, eμ is the median of the X distribution. Use this information to decide whether there is compelling evidence for concluding that the median of the turnover population distribution is less than 100%.
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The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a financial model that assumes returns on a portfolio are normally distributed. Suppose a portfolio has an average annual return of 14.7% (i.e. an average gain of 14.7%) with a standard deviation of 33%. A return of 0% means the value of the portfolio doesn’t change, a negative return means that the portfolio loses money, and a positive return means that the portfolio gains money.
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The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a financial model that assumes returns on a portfolio are normally distributed. Suppose a portfolio has an average annual return of 14.7% (i.e. an average gain of 14.7%) with a standard deviation of 33%. A return of 0% means the value of the portfolio doesn't change, a negative return means that the portfolio loses money, and a positive return means that the portfolio gains money.
(please round answers to within one hundredth of a percent)
(a) What percent of years does this portfolio lose money, i.e. have a return less than 0%?
(b) What is the cutoff for the highest 15% of annual returns with this portfolio?
Chapter 8 Solutions
Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences
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