Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms
Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms
4th Edition
ISBN: 9780534380588
Author: Wayne L. Winston
Publisher: Brooks Cole
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Chapter 13.2, Problem 1P

Explanation of Solution

a.

Given:

The utility function for asset position x is given by,

u(x)=lnx

Determining whether Am I Risk-Reverse, Risk-Neutral, or Risk-Seeking:

If u(x)is differentiable, then it is,

  • Risk-Reverse when u''(x)<0,
  • Risk-Neutral when u(x)is a linear function,
  • Risk Seeking when u''(x)>0

Explanation of Solution

b.

Given:

The utility function for asset position x is given by,

u(x)=lnx

Now, I have an asset of $20,000.

Consider the two lotteries,

L1: With probability 1, the asset becomes $19,000 (Loss of $1,000)

L2: With probability 0.9, the asset becomes $20,000 (Gain of $0)

       With probability 0.1, the asset becomes $10,000 (Loss of $10,000)

Determining which lottery, I prefer:

For a given lottery, L=(p1,r1;p2,r2;...;pn,rn), define the expected utility of the lottery L given as,

                  E(U for L) = i=1i=npiu(ri)

  • Here, p is the probability,
  • u(ri)is the utility function,
  • ris the reward.

It is given that,

u(x)=lnx

Now, find the expected utility of the lottery L1,

E(U for L1) =1×u(19000)                     =1×ln(19000)                     =9.8522

Similarly, find the expected utility of the lottery L2,

E(U for L2) =(0.9×u(20000))+(0.1×u(10000))                     =(0.9×ln(20000))+(0.1×ln(10000))                     =9.8342

For the two lotteries L1 and L2, use preference criteria via expected utility criteria. The criteria are as follows:

  • We prefer L1 over L2 (L1p L2) if E(U for L1)>E(U for L2)
  • We prefer L2 over L1 (L2p L1) if E(U for L2)>E(U for L1)
  • The lottery L1 is indifferent to L2 (L1i L2) if E(U for L1)=E(U for L2)

We have,

E(U for L1) = 9

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Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms

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Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms
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ISBN:9780534380588
Author:Wayne L. Winston
Publisher:Brooks Cole