A2 What is the expected value of perfect information (in thousands of dollars) for the Meega airlines problem?O 118.5O 436O 574.6O 697.2 Meega airlines decided to offer direct service from Akron, Ohio to Clearwater Beach, Florida. Management must decide between full-price service using the company's new fleet of jet aircraft and a discount-service using smaller capacity commuter planes. Managementdeveloped estimates of the contribution to profit for each type of service based upon three possible levels of demand for service: high,moderate, and lovw.The payoff table (in thousands of dollars) and the probabilities of the states of nature are as follows:Demand for serviceHigh MediumLowPr0.20.40.4Full1300-600450PriceDiscount720650-350Using the gxpected value approach what is the recommended decision for Meega Airlines?O Offering high demandO Offering Medium demandO Offering low demandO Offering full priceO Offering discounted price

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Answered: What is the expected value of perfect…

Practical Management Science

6th Edition

ISBN:9781337406659

Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.

Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 46P

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Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?
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Gamers Empire is considering marketing one of two new video games for the coming holiday season: Aliens Kidnapped My Dog or Ninjas vs. Pirates. Aliens Kidnapped My Dog does not appear to have any competition as it is a unique game. Estimated profits (in thousands of dollars) under high, medium and low demand are as follows: Demand Aliens Kidnapped My Dog High Medium Low Profit $1100 $800 $400 Probability 0.3 0.4 0.3 Gamers Empire is optimistic about Ninjas vs. Pirates. However, the concern is that profitability will be affect by their competitor Samurai Games releasing a similar title called Samurai vs. Robots. Estimated profits (in thousands of dollars) with and without competition are as follows: Demand Ninjas vs. Pirates with competition High Medium Low Profit $900 $500 $300 Probability 0.3 0.3 0.4 Ninjas vs. Pirates without competition Profit $1700 $900 $500 Probability 0.5 0.2 0.3 a) Construct a decision tree. b) Calculate the EMVs and state your decision if there is a 75%…
Q The owner of a small manufacturing business has patented a new device for washing dishes. Before trying to commercialize the device and add it to the existing line of products, the entrepreneur wants reasonable assurance of success. Variable costs are estimated at Rs. 50 per unit produced and sold. Fixed costs are Rs. 4,00,000 per year. A) If selling price is set at Rs. 250, how many units must be produced and sold to break-even? B) Forecasted sales for the first year are 4500 units, if price is reduced to Rs. 150. With this pricing strategy, what would be the product’s profit?
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What is the expected value of perfect information (in thousands of dollars) for the Meega airlines problem? O 118.5 O 436 O 574.6 O 697.2