Expected Monetary Value Suppose that your organization is deciding which of four projects to bid on, as summarized in the following table. Assume that all up-front investments are not recovered, so they are shown as negative profits. Calculate the EMV for each project. (Be sure to show work.) Explain which projects you would bid on. Be sure to use both the EMV information and your personal risk tolerance to justify your answer. Project Chance of Outcome Estimated Profits Project 150% $120,000 50% - $50,000 Project 2 30% 40% 30% Project 3 70% 30% Project 430% 30% 20% 20% $100,000 $50,000 - $60,000 $20,000 - $5,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $50,000
Expected Monetary Value Suppose that your organization is deciding which of four projects to bid on, as summarized in the following table. Assume that all up-front investments are not recovered, so they are shown as negative profits. Calculate the EMV for each project. (Be sure to show work.) Explain which projects you would bid on. Be sure to use both the EMV information and your personal risk tolerance to justify your answer. Project Chance of Outcome Estimated Profits Project 150% $120,000 50% - $50,000 Project 2 30% 40% 30% Project 3 70% 30% Project 430% 30% 20% 20% $100,000 $50,000 - $60,000 $20,000 - $5,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $50,000
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section9.3: Single-stage Decision Problems
Problem 6P
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