Consider a single consumption good and two states of nature {a, b}. An investor has preferences and a (random) endowment of this commodity as follows: ● u (x(a), x(b)) = logx(a) + logx(b), (e(a), e(b)) = (0, 2) In order to hedge against risk this investor can trade two securities with returns = - 3 per denominated in units of the commodity: r₁ = = (1), trading at a price 9₁ (2), trading at a price 92 Find the optimal consumption plan of this investor and answer: If instead of asset markets this investor faced contingent markets, for what (rela- tive) contingent market prices (a) would this investor choose THE SAME optimal consumption plan? p(b) unit and r2 = = 4 per unit. Answer:
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- . Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index . There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain.5) A person with a current wealth of $100,000 who faces the prospect of 25 percent chance of losing his or her $20,000 automobile through theft during the next year. Suppose this person's utility function is U(Y) = InY. a). If this person takes no action, what is the expected utility? b). What is the actuarially fair premium? What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. c). Suppose that now the insurance company provides a new type of insurance. This insurance costs $4900 and requires the individual to incur the first $1000 of the loss from theft would yield. That is expected utility of this new insurance? Will the person choose the insurance in b) or c)?4) Consider investors with preferences represented by the utility function U = E(r) – Ao². (a) Draw the indifference curve representing a utility level of 10% for an in- vestor with a risk aversion parameter A = 3 in expected return-standard deviation space. (b) In the same graph, draw the indifference curve representing a utility level of 15% for an investor with a risk aversion parameter A = 3. (c) In the same graph, draw the indifference curve representing a utility level of 10% for an investor with a risk aversion parameter A = 5.
- 5. Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index u(x) = √√x. There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain. b) What would be the highest price (premium) that she would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully insures her against the flooding damage?. Priyanka has an income of £90,000 and is a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility maximiser with von Neumann-Morgenstern utility index u(x) = square root x. There is a 1 % probability that there is flooding damage at her house. The repair of the damage would cost £80,000 which would reduce the income to £10,000. a) Would Priyanka be willing to spend £500 to purchase an insurance policy that would fully insure her against this loss? Explain. b) What would be the highest price (premium) that she would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully insures her against the flooding damage?Problem 3. Carol's risk preference is represented by the following expected utility formula: U(T, C₁; 1 T, C₂) = π √√ √₁+ (17) √√C₂. i) Suppose Carol is indifferent between the following two options: the first option A returns $100 with probability and $X with probability, and the second option B returns $49 for sure. Determine X. ii) Consider the following three lotteries: L₁ = (0.9, $100; 0.1, $49), L2 = (0.7, $225; 0.3, $49), and L3= (0.5, $400; 0.5, $0). What is the ranking of these lotteries for Carol? Calculate the risk premiums of these lotteries for Carol. 1
- Assume that Rosemarie has the following utility function: U(W) = W1/2. She is selling her homeand believes that the house will sell for $250,000 with probability ¼ and $122,500 withprobability ¾.a. What is her expected utility?b. What is the risk premium (P) Rosemarie would pay to avoid bearing this risk?Seung’s utility function is given by U = ln(C), where C is consumption. She makes $30,000 per year and enjoy jumping out of airplanes. There's a 5% chance that in the next year, she will break both legs, incur medical costs of $15,000, and lose an additional $5,000 from missing work. (a) What is Seung’s expected utility without insurance? (b) Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover the medical expenses but not the forgone part of her salary. How much would an actuarially fair policy cost, and what is her expected utility if she buys it? (c) Suppose Seung can buy insurance that will cover her medical expenses and forgone salary. How much would such a policy cost if it's actuarially fair, and what is her expected utility if she buys it?Utility functions incorporate a decision maker’s attitude towards risk. Let’s assume that the following utilities were assessed for Danica Wary. x u(x) -$2,000 0 -$500 62 $0 75 $400 80 $5,000 100 Would a risk neutral decision maker be willing to take the following deal: 30% chance of winning $5,000, 40% chance of winning $400 and a 30% chance of losing $2,000? Using the utilities given in the table above, determine whether Danica would be willing to take the deal described in part a? Is Danica risk averse or is she a risk taker? What is her risk premium for this deal?
- Microeconomics Wilfred’s expected utility function is px1^0.5+(1−p)x2^0.5, where p is the probability that he consumes x1 and 1 - p is the probability that he consumes x2. Wilfred is offered a choice between getting a sure payment of $Z or a lottery in which he receives $2500 with probability p = 0.4 and $3700 with probability 1 - p. Wilfred will choose the sure payment if Z > CE and the lottery if Z < CE, where the value of CE is equal to ___ (please round your final answer to two decimal places if necessary)A manager is deciding whether to build a small or a large facility. Much depends on the future demand that thefacility must serve, and demand may be small or large. The manager knows with certainty the payoffs that willresult under each alternative, shown in the following payoff table. The payoffs (in $000) are the present values offuture revenues minus costs for each alternative in each event.What is the best choice if future demand will be low?A seller has an indivisible asset to sell. Her reservation value for the asset is s, which she knows privately. A potential buyer thinks that the assetís value to him is b, which he privately knows. Assume that s and b are independently and uniformly drawn from [0, 1]. If the seller sells the asset to the buyer for a price of p, the seller's payoff is p-s and the buyer's payoffis b-p. Suppose simultaneously the buyer makes an offer p1 and the seller makes an offer p2. A transaction occurs if p1>=p2, and the transaction price is 1/2 (p1 + p2). Is the following strategy profile a Bayesian Nash equilibrium: the buyer chooses p1 = 1/2 if b>=1/2 and he chooses p1=0 if b<1/2; the seller chooses p2=1/2 if s<1/2 and she chooses p2=1 if s>1/2. Why or why not? Can there be a Bayesian Nash Equilibrium in which the transaction price is .9 whenever there is a transaction? Why or why not?