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- 1. A dealer decides to sell a rare book by means of an English auction with a reservation price of 54. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, 90, 54, and 45, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue is approximately ______. 2. A seller knows that there are two bidders for the object he is selling. He believes that with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of 5 and the other has a buyer value of 10 and with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of 8 and the other has a buyer value of 15. He knows that bidders will want to buy the object so long as they can get it for their buyer value or less. He sells it in an English auction with a reserve price which he must…2. Consider the following Bayesian game with two players. Both players move simultaneously and player 1 can choose either H or L, while player 2's options are G, M, and D. With probability 1/2 the payoffs are given by "Game 1" : GMD H 1,2 1,0 1,3 L 2,4 0,0 0,5 and with probability 1/2 the payoffs are according to "Game 2" : G |M|D H 1,2 1,3 1,0 L 2,4 0,5 0,0 (a) Find the Nash Equilibria when neither player knows which game is actually played. (b) Assume now that player 2 knows which one among the two games is actually being played. Check that the game has a unique Bayesian Nash Equilibrium.You and a coworker are assigned a team project on which your likelihood or a promotion will be decidedon. It is now the night before the project is due and neither has yet to start it. You both want toreceive a promotion next year, but you both also want to go to your company’s holiday party that night.Each of you wants to maximize his or her own happiness (likelihood of a promotion and mingling withyour colleagues “on the company’s dime”). If you both work, you deliver an outstanding presentation.If you both go to the party, your presentation is mediocre. If one parties and the other works, yourpresentation is above average. Partying increases happiness by 25 units. Working on the project addszero units to happiness. Happiness is also affected by your chance of a promotion, which is depends on howgood your project is. An outstanding presentation gives 40 units of happiness to each of you; an aboveaverage presentation gives 30 units of happiness; a mediocre presentation gives 10 units…
- 23. Captain Kidd has a map that has a 20% probability of leading him to a treasure worth 400,000 guineas. Independent of the fact of having a map, Capitan Kidd already has his own income equal to 90,000 guineas. Another pirate wants to buy the map from the Capitan Kidd (after selling the map Capitan Kidd has no chance to find a treasure). What is the minimum price for a map which the Captain Kidd will accept if Capitan Kidd has von Neuman- Morgenstern utility function is U(w) = w0.5, where w is his income level? a) 54,400 b) 32,500 c) 45,000 d) 90,000 e) There is no correct answer2. Consider a cheap talk game in which Nature moves by choosing a sender's type, where the type space has four elements: −1, 1, 2, and 3, each occur- ring with equal probability of 1½. The sender learns his type and chooses one of three possible messages: bumpy, smooth, and slick. The receiver observes the sender's message and then chooses one of three actions: 0, 5, and 10. The sender's payoff equals his type multiplied by the receiver's action. The receiver's payoff equals the sender's type multiplied by twice the receiver's payoff. a. Find a separating perfect Bayes-Nash equilibrium. b. Find a semiseparating perfect Bayes-Nash equilibrium.Exercise 6.8. Consider the following extensive-form game with cardinal payoffs: 1 R O player pay 000 2 1 M 3 b 010 O player 3's payoff 1 2 221 2 000 0 0 (a) Find all the pure-strategy Nash equilibria. Which ones are also subgame perfect? (b) [This is a more challenging question] Prove that there is no mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium where Player 1 plays Mwith probability strictly between 0 and 1.
- In the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?Someone at a party pulls out a $100 bill and announces that he is going to auction it off. There are n=10 people at the partywho are potential bidders. The owner of the $100 bill puts forth the following procedure: All bidders simultaneously submit a written bid. Only the highest bidders pay their bid (assuming that the highest bid is positive). If m people submit the highest bid, then each receives 1/m of the $100. Each person’s strategy set is {0,1,2,...,1000}{0,1,2,...,1000} so bidding can go as high as $1,000. The payoff of a player bidding bi is:0 if bi < max{b1,b2,…,bn},and 100/m − bi if bi = max {b1,b2,…,bn}where,m is the number of bidders whose bid equals max{b1,...,bn}. How many pure-strategy Nash equilibria does this game have? 1) 0 2) 1 3) 4 4) More than 4.7. Suppose the only game in town involves flipping a fair coin (so Heads and Tails are equally likely), with a $x bet. If Heads comes up, the payoff is $0.9x; if Tails comes up, you lose the $x. You have $10,000, and must win at least $5,000 by tomorrow morning to pay off a debt to a mean dude. a. Compute the likelihood of winning at least $5000 by making a single bet of $10,000. b. Compute the likelihood of winning at least $1000 by playing the game 10,0000 times and betting a dollar each time. What is the likelihood of not losing money? Message learned?
- Question 4 Suppose a prosecutor expects to convict a defendant with probability 0.5 and that the sentence on conviction is 10 years in prison. Assume the prosecutor values prison time at $1,000 per year (its value as a deterrent of crime), and incurs a cost of trial equal to $2,000. a. What is the minimum prison sentence the prosecutor will o er as part of a plea bargain if her objective is to maximize the expected value of the sentence imposed, less the cost of trial (ignore the information provided in b. below to answer this question a.)? b. Suppose the defendant believes his chances of being convicted are 0.3, his cost of prison time is $5,000 per year, and his cost of a trial is $1,000. Will he accept the plea bargain in a.?please solve it in 30 minute please Consider an infinitely repeated game where the stage game is the game of chicken: Swerve Straight Swerve 0,0 -1,1 Straight 1, –1 -10, -10 Assume that the discount factor is very close to one. For concreteness, you can assume that d = 0.99. (a) Is there an SPE in which player l's payoff is 1/(1 – 6)? Explain. (b) Is there an SPE in which each player gets a payoff of 0? Explain. (c) Is there an SPE in which player l's payoff is -2/(1 – 8)? Explain.Example 1: Zero Sum Game Game Table 2 Game Table 1 Player 2 Player 2 S1 S2 Si S2 RI (3,-3) (-5,5) Player 1 R1 3 -5 RI (0,0) (7,-7) R1 7 Player 1 All players payoff shown =) Fnd Nasn ewwliLtlun> zero sum shorthand
