1. table below. Answer the following questions based on the regression Table 1. Regressions for per Capita Growth (1) (2) (3) (4) Dep. var. GR6085 GR7085 GR6085 GR6085 No. obs. 98 98 98 98 Const. 0.0302 0.0287 0.0288 0.0345 (0.0066) (0.0080) (0.0065) (0.0067) GDP60 -0.0075 -0.0089 -0.0073 -0.0068 (0.0012) (0.0016) (0.0011) (0.0009) SEC60 PRIM60 0.0305 (0.0079) 0.0250 (0.0056) 0.0331 0.0254 0.0133 (0.0137) (0.0110) (0.0070) 0.0276 0.0324 0.0263 (0.0070) (0.0077) (0.0060) SEC50 0.0183 (0.0121) PRIM50 -0.0085 (0.0064) gly -0.119 -0.142 -0.121 -0.094 (0.028) (0.034) (0.027) (0.026) REV -0.0195 -0.0236 -0.0189 -0.0167 (0.0063) (0.0071) (0.0060) (0.0062) ASSASS -0.0333 -0.0485 -0.0298 -0.0201 (0.0155) (0.0185) (0.0130) (0.0131) PP160DEV -0.0143 -0.0171 -0.0141 -0.0140 (0.0053) (0.0078) (0.0052) (0.0046) AFRICA -0.0114 (0.0039) LAT.AMER. -0.0129 (0.0030) 0.56 0.0128 0.49 0.0168 0.56 0.62 0.0129 0.0119 Source: Barro (1991), pp. 410-413. (a) The table shows the results of running a regression where the dependent (or left hand side) variable is a country's growth rate and the independent (or right hand side variables) are various factors that could affect the growth rate. The data used are cross-sectional (no time variation). I want to focus on the variable PRIM60, which is a measure of education (primary school enrollment in 1960). According to regression (1), what is the average effect of a one-unit increase in PRIM60 on a country's growth rate? (b) The numbers in parentheses are standard errors. Using this knowledge, write down which variables in regression (1) are statistically signifcant according to our 'rule of thumb' we learned in class. (c) Assume this is simply a cross-section regression with no use of difference-in- differences (obviously), IV, or any other of the techniques we discussed in class. Tell me a story about why we should be careful about interpreting the coefficient on PRIM60 as causal. I'm looking for a plausible story that would undermine a naive interpretation of the coefficient.

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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1.
table below.
Answer the following questions based on the regression
Table 1. Regressions for per Capita Growth
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Dep. var. GR6085
GR7085
GR6085
GR6085
No. obs.
98
98
98
98
Const.
0.0302
0.0287
0.0288
0.0345
(0.0066)
(0.0080)
(0.0065)
(0.0067)
GDP60
-0.0075
-0.0089
-0.0073
-0.0068
(0.0012)
(0.0016)
(0.0011)
(0.0009)
SEC60
PRIM60
0.0305
(0.0079)
0.0250
(0.0056)
0.0331
0.0254
0.0133
(0.0137)
(0.0110) (0.0070)
0.0276
0.0324 0.0263
(0.0070)
(0.0077) (0.0060)
SEC50
0.0183
(0.0121)
PRIM50
-0.0085
(0.0064)
gly
-0.119
-0.142
-0.121
-0.094
(0.028)
(0.034)
(0.027)
(0.026)
REV
-0.0195
-0.0236
-0.0189
-0.0167
(0.0063)
(0.0071)
(0.0060)
(0.0062)
ASSASS
-0.0333
-0.0485
-0.0298
-0.0201
(0.0155)
(0.0185)
(0.0130) (0.0131)
PP160DEV -0.0143
-0.0171
-0.0141
-0.0140
(0.0053)
(0.0078)
(0.0052)
(0.0046)
AFRICA
-0.0114
(0.0039)
LAT.AMER.
-0.0129
(0.0030)
0.56
0.0128
0.49
0.0168
0.56
0.62
0.0129
0.0119
Source: Barro (1991), pp. 410-413.
(a) The table shows the results of running a regression where the dependent (or left
hand side) variable is a country's growth rate and the independent (or right hand
side variables) are various factors that could affect the growth rate. The data used
are cross-sectional (no time variation). I want to focus on the variable PRIM60,
which is a measure of education (primary school enrollment in 1960). According
to regression (1), what is the average effect of a one-unit increase in PRIM60 on a
country's growth rate?
(b) The numbers in parentheses are standard errors. Using this knowledge, write down
which variables in regression (1) are statistically signifcant according to our 'rule of
thumb' we learned in class.
(c)
Assume this is simply a cross-section regression with no use of difference-in-
differences (obviously), IV, or any other of the techniques we discussed in class.
Tell me a story about why we should be careful about interpreting the coefficient on
PRIM60 as causal. I'm looking for a plausible story that would undermine a naive
interpretation of the coefficient.
Transcribed Image Text:1. table below. Answer the following questions based on the regression Table 1. Regressions for per Capita Growth (1) (2) (3) (4) Dep. var. GR6085 GR7085 GR6085 GR6085 No. obs. 98 98 98 98 Const. 0.0302 0.0287 0.0288 0.0345 (0.0066) (0.0080) (0.0065) (0.0067) GDP60 -0.0075 -0.0089 -0.0073 -0.0068 (0.0012) (0.0016) (0.0011) (0.0009) SEC60 PRIM60 0.0305 (0.0079) 0.0250 (0.0056) 0.0331 0.0254 0.0133 (0.0137) (0.0110) (0.0070) 0.0276 0.0324 0.0263 (0.0070) (0.0077) (0.0060) SEC50 0.0183 (0.0121) PRIM50 -0.0085 (0.0064) gly -0.119 -0.142 -0.121 -0.094 (0.028) (0.034) (0.027) (0.026) REV -0.0195 -0.0236 -0.0189 -0.0167 (0.0063) (0.0071) (0.0060) (0.0062) ASSASS -0.0333 -0.0485 -0.0298 -0.0201 (0.0155) (0.0185) (0.0130) (0.0131) PP160DEV -0.0143 -0.0171 -0.0141 -0.0140 (0.0053) (0.0078) (0.0052) (0.0046) AFRICA -0.0114 (0.0039) LAT.AMER. -0.0129 (0.0030) 0.56 0.0128 0.49 0.0168 0.56 0.62 0.0129 0.0119 Source: Barro (1991), pp. 410-413. (a) The table shows the results of running a regression where the dependent (or left hand side) variable is a country's growth rate and the independent (or right hand side variables) are various factors that could affect the growth rate. The data used are cross-sectional (no time variation). I want to focus on the variable PRIM60, which is a measure of education (primary school enrollment in 1960). According to regression (1), what is the average effect of a one-unit increase in PRIM60 on a country's growth rate? (b) The numbers in parentheses are standard errors. Using this knowledge, write down which variables in regression (1) are statistically signifcant according to our 'rule of thumb' we learned in class. (c) Assume this is simply a cross-section regression with no use of difference-in- differences (obviously), IV, or any other of the techniques we discussed in class. Tell me a story about why we should be careful about interpreting the coefficient on PRIM60 as causal. I'm looking for a plausible story that would undermine a naive interpretation of the coefficient.
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