Interest Rate (in RM1,000,000s) Stable Decline Project Office park Office building Increase 0.5 1.7 4.5 1.5 1.9 2.5 Warehouse 1.7 1.4 1.0 Mall 0.7 2.4 3.6 Condominiums 3.2 1.5 0.6 a) Determine the best project to be develop using Hurwicz criterion with a = 0.35. b) The Place-Star has hired an economist to assign a probability to each direction interest rates may take over the next five years. The economist has determined that there is a 0.50 probability that interest rates will decline, a 0.40 probability that rates will remain stable, and a 0.10 probability that rates will increase. Construct a decision tree and recommend the best project to be develop using Expected Value (EV). i. ii. Calculate the Expected value of Perfect Information (EVPI). An economist charges RM20,000 for more information about which state of nature (interest rate) is likely to occur. Based on your answer in (ii), would Place- Star spend the money for this information? Why? ii. 55O66 NO 44 5 LO5772 O3.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 46P
icon
Related questions
Question
Help me solve all the questions
Interest Rate (in RM1,000,000s)
Stable
Decline
Project
Office park
Office building
Increase
0.5
1.7
4.5
1.5
1.9
2.5
Warehouse
1.7
1.4
1.0
Mall
0.7
2.4
3.6
Condominiums
3.2
1.5
0.6
a) Determine the best project to be develop using Hurwicz criterion with a = 0.35.
b) The Place-Star has hired an economist to assign a probability to each direction
interest rates may take over the next five years. The economist has determined that
there is a 0.50 probability that interest rates will decline, a 0.40 probability that rates
will remain stable, and a 0.10 probability that rates will increase.
Construct a decision tree and recommend the best project to be develop using
Expected Value (EV).
i.
ii.
Calculate the Expected value of Perfect Information (EVPI).
An economist charges RM20,000 for more information about which state of
nature (interest rate) is likely to occur. Based on your answer in (ii), would Place-
Star spend the money for this information? Why?
ii.
|이디-|이3
Transcribed Image Text:Interest Rate (in RM1,000,000s) Stable Decline Project Office park Office building Increase 0.5 1.7 4.5 1.5 1.9 2.5 Warehouse 1.7 1.4 1.0 Mall 0.7 2.4 3.6 Condominiums 3.2 1.5 0.6 a) Determine the best project to be develop using Hurwicz criterion with a = 0.35. b) The Place-Star has hired an economist to assign a probability to each direction interest rates may take over the next five years. The economist has determined that there is a 0.50 probability that interest rates will decline, a 0.40 probability that rates will remain stable, and a 0.10 probability that rates will increase. Construct a decision tree and recommend the best project to be develop using Expected Value (EV). i. ii. Calculate the Expected value of Perfect Information (EVPI). An economist charges RM20,000 for more information about which state of nature (interest rate) is likely to occur. Based on your answer in (ii), would Place- Star spend the money for this information? Why? ii. |이디-|이3
Place-Star, a real estate development firm, is considering several alternative
development projects. These include building and leasing an office park, purchasing a
parcel of land and building, an office building to rent, buying and leasing a warehouse,
building a strip mall, and building and selling condominiums. The financial success of
these projects depends on interest rate movement in the next 5 years. The various
development projects and their 5-year financial return (in RM1,000,000s) given that
interest rate will decline, remain stable, or increase, are shown in the following payoff
table:
1
Transcribed Image Text:Place-Star, a real estate development firm, is considering several alternative development projects. These include building and leasing an office park, purchasing a parcel of land and building, an office building to rent, buying and leasing a warehouse, building a strip mall, and building and selling condominiums. The financial success of these projects depends on interest rate movement in the next 5 years. The various development projects and their 5-year financial return (in RM1,000,000s) given that interest rate will decline, remain stable, or increase, are shown in the following payoff table: 1
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps with 8 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781337406659
Author:
WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:
Cengage,
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Operations Management
ISBN:
9781285869681
Author:
Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:
Cengage Learning