The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): Decision    State of Nature   Alternative Low Demand (S1) Medium Demand (S2) High Demand )S3) Manufacture, d(1) -20 40 100 Purchase, d(2) 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P s1= 0.35, P s2= 0.35, and P s3= 0.30 Use expected value to recommend a decision.

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Author:Pride, William M
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Chapter19: Pricing Concepts
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The Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars):

Decision    State of Nature  
Alternative Low Demand (S1) Medium Demand (S2) High Demand )S3)

Manufacture, d(1)

-20 40 100
Purchase, d(2) 10 45 70

The state-of-nature probabilities are P s1= 0.35, P s2= 0.35, and P s3= 0.30

Use expected value to recommend a decision.

 

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