The following data give the yearly inflation rate and money supply growth rate (both measured in percentage) for 51 countries. A simple regression of Infla- tion on Growth yields the following information from RegressIt output: (a)  What is the linear relationship implied by these data? (b)  For a country with an 6% money supply growth, what would be the expected inflation? (This means Growth= 6 as it is measured in percentage.) (c) A simplistic monetarist claims that a 1% increase in the money supply growth rate would result in a corresponding 1% increase in inflation. In other words, for the relationship of Inflation = β0 + β1Growth, the null hypothesis is β1 = 1. Do the regression results support this null hypothesis?

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Question

The following data give the yearly inflation rate and money supply growth
rate (both measured in percentage) for 51 countries. A simple regression of Infla-
tion on Growth yields the following information from RegressIt output:

(a)  What is the linear relationship implied by these data?

(b)  For a country with an 6% money supply growth, what would be the
expected inflation? (This means Growth= 6 as it is measured in percentage.)

(c) A simplistic monetarist claims that a 1% increase in the money supply
growth rate would result in a corresponding 1% increase in inflation. In other
words, for the relationship of Inflation = β0 + β1Growth, the null hypothesis is
β1 = 1. Do the regression results support this null hypothesis?

 

Dependent Variable:
Independent Variable:
Regression Statistics
Summary Table
Variable
Coeff.
Intercept -6.554
Growth 1.165
R Square
0.672
Inflation
Growth
Adj.RSqr
0.671
Std.Err.
t Stat.
1.137
-5.764
0.076 15.329
Std.Err.
2.655
P-value
0.000
0.000
# Cases
51
Lower 95%
-8.828
1.013
Upper 95%
-4.280
1.317
Transcribed Image Text:Dependent Variable: Independent Variable: Regression Statistics Summary Table Variable Coeff. Intercept -6.554 Growth 1.165 R Square 0.672 Inflation Growth Adj.RSqr 0.671 Std.Err. t Stat. 1.137 -5.764 0.076 15.329 Std.Err. 2.655 P-value 0.000 0.000 # Cases 51 Lower 95% -8.828 1.013 Upper 95% -4.280 1.317
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