The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year 1 2 3 4 Mileage 3,000 4,000 3,450 3,750 3,700 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3725 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 (the weight of 0.55 is for the most recent period) = |3723 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 = miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.7: Exponential Smoothing Models
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The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years
are as follows:
Year
1
2
3
4
Mileage
3,000
4,000
3,450
3,750
3,700
a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3725 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number).
b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this =
miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 (the weight of 0.55 is for the most recent period) = |3723 miles (round your response to the
nearest whole number).
The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 =
miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3
years of matched data.)
Transcribed Image Text:The Carbondale Hospital is considering the purchase of a new ambulance. The decision will rest partly on the anticipated mileage to be driven next year. The miles driven during the past 5 years are as follows: Year 1 2 3 4 Mileage 3,000 4,000 3,450 3,750 3,700 a) Using a 2-year moving average, the forecast for year 6 = 3725 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). b) If a 2-year moving average is used to make the forecast, the MAD based on this = miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.) c) The forecast for year 6 using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 (the weight of 0.55 is for the most recent period) = |3723 miles (round your response to the nearest whole number). The MAD for the forecast developed using a weighted 2-year moving average with weights of 0.45 and 0.55 = miles (round your response to one decimal place). (Hint: You will have only 3 years of matched data.)
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