Suppose that you decide to play a game. You buy stockby throwing a dice a few times, using that method toselect which stock to buy. After ten months you calculate the return on your investment and the return earned bysomeone who followed “expert” advice during the sameperiod. If both returns are similar, would this constitute evidence in favor of or against the efficient markethypothesis?

Microeconomics: Principles & Policy
14th Edition
ISBN:9781337794992
Author:William J. Baumol, Alan S. Blinder, John L. Solow
Publisher:William J. Baumol, Alan S. Blinder, John L. Solow
Chapter9: The Financial Markets And The Economy: The Tail That Wags The Dog
Section: Chapter Questions
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Suppose that you decide to play a game. You buy stock
by throwing a dice a few times, using that method to
select which stock to buy. After ten months you calculate the return on your investment and the return earned by
someone who followed “expert” advice during the same
period. If both returns are similar, would this constitute evidence in favor of or against the efficient market
hypothesis?

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