Strong growth has a 70% probability and operating costs for all other options are equal. Draw a decision tree of the problem and determine the best solution with highest expected value.    You can draw the decision tree and solution in either a) Excel or b) by hand, and then upload the file for this assignment.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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A store is evaluating two options:

  • expand to a new location
  • stay and do nothing in current place for the next five years

The decision process includes the following:

  • Moving to the new site: 
    • would cost $500,000
    • annual returns with strong growth = $3 million; with weak growth = $2 million
  • Doing nothing:
    • annual returns with strong growth = $2 million; with weak growth = $1.5 million

Strong growth has a 70% probability and operating costs for all other options are equal.

Draw a decision tree of the problem and determine the best solution with highest expected value.   

You can draw the decision tree and solution in either a) Excel or b) by hand, and then upload the file for this assignment.  

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