Player 2 L 1,0 0,1 Player 1 0,1 1,0 Suppose Player 2 is using the following strategy: she plays L with probability 0.70 and she plays R with probability 0.30. In this case: a) If Player 1 plays U, then Player 1 attains an expected payoff of 0.70 b) If Player 1 plays D, then Player 1 attains an expected payoff of 0.30 c) Therefore, the best response of Player 1 is to play U with probability 1.00 + and D with probability 0
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- Player 1 L 20, 12 4,8 10, 2 6,6 R 0, 14 8,4 2,18 6,6 ). If 1 believes that 2 plays a mixed strategy (0.25, 0.75), i.e. with 25% probability of L and 75% probability of R, which of 1's strategies has the highest expected payoff? N E S W N E S W Player 2 2. If 2 actually plays a mixed strategy (0.25, 0.75), i.e. with 25% probability of L and 75% probability of R, which of 1's strategies would give 2 the highest expected payoff? N E S WQuestion10: He game matrix table arranged in terms of player A is given. by solving the game with the graphic method; 2-)Find the probability of playing B's 1st strategy. 2-)Find the probability of playing B's 2nd strategy. 3-) find the expected game value.Bill owes Bob $36. Just before Bill pays him the money, he gives Bob the opportunity to play a dice game to potentially win more money. The rules of this game are as follows: If Bob rolls doubles (probability 1/6), Bill will Bob double ($72). If he misses doubles on pay the first try, he can try again or settle for half the money ($18). If he makes doubles on the second try Bill will again pay-up double ($72), but if Bob misses doubles on the second try Bill will only pay him one-third ($12). Should Bob decide to play the dice game with Bill, or insist that he pay the $36 now? Use a decision tree to support your answer.
- 2.4 The opening 2018 World Cup odds against being the winning team specified by espn.com were 9/2 for Germany, 5/1 for Brazil, 11/2 for France, 20/1 for England, and 7/1 for Spain. Find the corresponding prior probabilities of winning for these five teams.Halsen, a marketing manager at Business X, has determined four possible strategies (X1, X2, X3, and X4) for promoting the Product X in London. She also knows that major competitor Product Y has 4 competitive actions (Y1, Y2, Y3 and Y4) it’s using to promote its product in London, too. Ms. Halsen has no previous knowledge that would allow her to determine probabilities of success of any of the four strategies. She formulates the matrix below to show the various Business X strategies and the resulting profit, depending on the competitive action used by Business Y. Determine which strategy Ms. Halsen should select using. Maximax, maximin or minimax regret? Business X Strategy Business Y Strategy Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 X1 25 57 21 26 X2 17 29 20 34 X3 47 31 32 37 X4 35 27 30 35A salesperson is trying to sell cars. The number of cars that she will sell depends on her effort "e" and her luck. Given her effort e, with probability 4e she is able to sell four cars, and with probability (1 - 4e) she is able to sell only one car. Her personal cost of effort is 100e². The dealership pays her a bonus b for each car sold. The salesperson is risk-neutral, and wants to maximize her expected utility, which is her expected income minus her effort cost. a) Given the bonus b, the salesperson's best response function is b) Suppose the dealership pays b = 2. Then the expected number of cars sold will be E(Q)=
- Question10: The game matrix table arranged according to player A is given.by solving the game with the graphic method;2-)Find the probability of playing strategy 1 of B.2-)Find the probability of playing B's strategy 2.3-) Find the expected game value.Halsen, a marketing manager at Business X, has determined four possible strategies (X1, X2, X3, and X4) for promoting the Product X in London. She also knows that major competitor Product Y has 4 competitive actions (Y1, Y2, Y3 and Y4) it’s using to promote its product in London, too. Ms. Halsen has no previous knowledge that would allow her to determine probabilities of success of any of the four strategies. She formulates the matrix below to show the various Business X strategies and the resulting profit, depending on the competitive action used by Business Y. Determine which strategy Ms. Halsen should select using, the following decision criteria. Please explain your answer for each strategy. a)Maximax; b)Maximin; c)Minimax regret Business X Strategy Business Y Strategy Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 X1 25 57 21 26 X2 17 29 20 34 X3 47 31 32 37 X4 35 27 30 35An author is trying to choose between two publishing companies that are competing for the marketing rights to her new novel. Company A has offered the author $10,000 plus $2 per book sold. Company B has offered the author $2,000 plus $4 per book sold. The author believes that four levels of demand for the book are possible are: 1,000, 2,000, 3000 and 5000 books are sold. If the probabilities of each level of demand are as follows: Demand Probability 1000 0.31 2000 0.32 3000 0.25 5000 0.12 Construct the payoff table for each level of demand for company X and company Y. What are the expected monetary value (EMV) and expected opportunity loss (EOL)? Hence determine the best decision that this author should do.
- At races, your horse, White Rum, has a probability of 1/20 of coming 1st, 1/10 of coming 2nd and a probability of 1⁄4 in coming 3rd. First place pays $5,000 to the winner, second place $4,000 and third place $1,350.Hence, is it worth entering the race if it costs $1050? Your company plans to invest in a particular project. There is a 40% chance you will lose $3,000, a 45% chance you will break even, and a 15% chance you will make $5,500. Based solely on this information, what should you do? On 1st Jan 2006, a business had inventory of $19,000. During the month, sales totalled $32,500 and purchases $24,000. On 31st Jan 2006 a fire destroyed some of the inventory. The undamaged goods in inventory were valued at $11,000. The business operates with a standard gross profit margin of 30%. Based on this information, what is the cost of the inventory destroyed in the fire?An investor must decide among three alternative investments A, B and C. The return for each investment, given three future economic conditions, is shown in the following payoff table: Economic conditions Investment Good Normal Bad A $10,000 $5000 $0 B 6000 4000 1000 с 4000 2000 1500 What probability for each economic condition would make the investor indifferent to the choice among investments A, B and C?First Player can invest $1.00 with Second Player (low reliance) or $2.00 (high reliance). Based on the payoffs shown below, what is the probability of performance that makes High Reliance optimal? Write your answer as a two digit integer. E.g., if the answer is 33%, write 33. Second Player Perform Breach Invest & Low Reliance 0.25 1.0 First Player 0.25 -1.0 Invest & High Reliance 0.5 1.0 0.75 -2.0