In a certain​ four-engine vintage​ aircraft, now quite​ unreliable, each engine has a 15​% chance of failure on any​ flight, as long as it is carrying its​ one-fourth share of the load. But if one engine​ fails, then the chance of failure increases to 30​% for each of the other three engines. And if a second engine​ fails, each of the remaining two has a 45​% chance of failure. Assuming that no two engines ever fail​ simultaneously, and that the aircraft can continue flying with as few as two operating​ engines, find the probability for no engine failures.

Calculus For The Life Sciences
2nd Edition
ISBN:9780321964038
Author:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Publisher:GREENWELL, Raymond N., RITCHEY, Nathan P., Lial, Margaret L.
Chapter1: Functions
Section1.EA: Extended Application Using Extrapolation To Predict Life Expectancy
Problem 7EA
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In a certain​ four-engine vintage​ aircraft, now quite​ unreliable, each engine has a

15​%

chance of failure on any​ flight, as long as it is carrying its​ one-fourth share of the load. But if one engine​ fails, then the chance of failure increases to

30​%

for each of the other three engines. And if a second engine​ fails, each of the remaining two has a

45​%

chance of failure. Assuming that no two engines ever fail​ simultaneously, and that the aircraft can continue flying with as few as two operating​ engines, find the probability for no engine failures.

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