Holmes Manufacturing is considering a new machine that costs $275,000 and would reduce pretax manufacturing costs by $90,000 annually. The new machine will be fully depreciated at the time of purchase. Management thinks the machine would have a value of $23,000 at the end of its 5-year operating life. Net operating working capital would increase by $25,000 initially, but it would be recovered at the end of the project's 5-year life. Holmes's marginal tax rate is 25%, and an 11% WACC is appropriate for the project. Suppose the CFO wants you to do a scenario analysis with different values for the cost savings, the machine's salvage value, and the net operating working capital (NOWC) requirement. She asks you to use the following probabilities and values in the scenario analysis: Scenario Probability Cost Savings Salvage Value NOWC Worst case 0.35 $72,000 $18,000 $30,000 Base case 0.35 $90,000 $23,000 $25,000 Best case 0.30 $108,000 $28,000 $20,000 Calculate the project's expected NPV, its standard deviation, and its coefficient of variation. Negative values, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer for expected NPV and for standard deviation to the nearest cent and for coefficient of variation to two decimal places. E(NPV): $ σNPV: $ CV:

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

14th Edition

ISBN:9780190931919

Author:NEWNAN

Publisher:NEWNAN

Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1QTC

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Holmes Manufacturing is considering a new machine that costs $275,000 and would reduce pretax manufacturing costs by $90,000 annually. The new machine will be fully depreciated at the time of purchase. Management thinks the machine would have a value of $23,000 at the end of its 5-year operating life. Net operating working capital would increase by $25,000 initially, but it would be recovered at the end of the project's 5-year life. Holmes's marginal tax rate is 25%, and an 11% WACC is appropriate for the project.

Suppose the CFO wants you to do a scenario analysis with different values for the cost savings, the machine's salvage value, and the net operating working capital (NOWC) requirement. She asks you to use the following probabilities and values in the scenario analysis:

Scenario	Probability	Cost Savings	Salvage Value	NOWC
Worst case	0.35	$72,000	$18,000	$30,000
Base case	0.35	$90,000	$23,000	$25,000
Best case	0.30	$108,000	$28,000	$20,000

Calculate the project's expected NPV, its standard deviation, and its coefficient of variation. Negative values, if any, should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer for expected NPV and for standard deviation to the nearest cent and for coefficient of variation to two decimal places.

E(NPV):	$
σNPV:	$
CV:

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