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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. Ethical decisions that affect a buyers ethical perspective usually involve the organizational environment, cultural environment, personal environment, and industry environment. Analyze this scenario using these four variables.Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?
- 4. Spears Rowbuck has recorded the following sales figures. Calculate the seasonal indices for Thursday and Friday. Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Monday 43 51 40 66.0 Tuesday 45 41 57 58.6 Wednesday 22 37 30 34.7 Thursday 25 22 33 36.7 Friday 31 25 37 25.0 a. Thursday = 29.18, Friday = 29.50 b. Thursday = 0.2074, Friday = 1.1632 c. None of the other options. d. Thursday = 0.7678, Friday = 0.7763 e. Thursday = 0.6142, Friday = 0.6211Given below are the demands of a certain product over the past 10 weeks. Week | 1 2 3 4 | 5 67|89 | 10 Demand 50 64 66 68 67 63 69 67 65 66 (a) Forecast the demand for the 13th week using the following techniques: i. 3- week weighted moving average with weights 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5 ii. Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to 0.85 ii. Adjusted exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to 0.85 and smoothing constant for trend equal to 0.65 (b) Compute for the accuracy of each model using the mean squared error. Based on the computed MSE, what is the best forecasting technique for this time series?Show solutions. 1. If actual recent demand was 41.5, using the focus forecasting approach, the forecast technique to use for next period is __ The technique and its forecast are as follows: Weighted moving average 40Moving average 43Exponential smoothing 41 2. LMN Company actual sales for january was 1588 units, but was forecast at 1599. The forecast error is __ units. 3. The 4-period moving average forecast for period 6 is __ Period Demand1 402 403 434 415 42
- Identify the most likely market structure for each of the following: (a) Mobile phones (in Australia) (b) Takeaway fast food (c) Sydney International Airport5. Avery produces hard drives for major computer/laptop manufacturers. The market has been decreasing over the past three years due to the solid-state drives. Using the past three years of data, Avery would like to forecast the sales for the next fiscal year for each quarter to determine whether it needs to decrease the production capacity for traditional hard drives. Derive the forecast by computing trend on seasonalized data. Quarter Sales (2017) Sales (2018) Sales (2019) 1 4,800 3,400 4,200 3,200 3,600 2,600 3,500 3,300 2,200 2,900 2,000 4 2,300 6. Answer Question 5 by computing trend on deseasonalized data of Avery's last three years of sales.a. Compute a three-week moving average forecast for the arrival of medical clinic patients in week 4. The numbers of arrivals for the past 3 weeks were as follows: Week Patient Arrivals1 4002 3803 411 b. If the actual number of patient arrivals in week 4 is 415, what is the forecast error for week 4?c. What is the forecast for week 5?
- Month 2 3 4 Value 24 13 20 12 23 15 Develop the three week moving -data fore as ts fort fonecast ford avertage series. Compute -this time MSE and week 8. a = 0.2 -1o smothing sercies. compute MSE compute the exponential the time fordcast fort and 8 week. moving average approach exponenti al smoó-thing approach Compute 3 week with the wsing appears to provide X = 0.2 . which based MSE on more accurate of ao 0.4 Ho smoshing constant Using compute exponential smoo-thing forueasts. the eonsla smo constant af) Does somanthing accurate 0. 2 OR appear lo provide morce 0.4 fore casts on MSE? Explain. basedB. The number of disk drives (in millions) made at a plant in China during the past 5 years follows: Year Disc Drives 1 140 160 3 190 4 200 5 210 i. Forecast the number of disk drives to be made next year, using linear regression.Calculate MSE for the 4 periods for which the actual and forecasted number of customers given in the table below: Forecasted Actual Number Period Number of Error of Customers Customers 1 1,975 2,000 2 2,050 2,025 3 1,925 1,975 4 2,075 2,025 390.63 37.5 6,250 True1,562.5