Consider a gamble/lottery in which a coin is tossed rapidly until a tail comes up. 2m rupee is given if the tail comes up at the mth toss. Let the individual be risk neutral, having u(x) = x where x is the amount of winning. Find the expected utility from the lottery.
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Consider a gamble/lottery in which a coin is tossed rapidly until a tail
comes up. 2m rupee is given if the tail comes up at the mth toss. Let the
individual be risk neutral, having u(x) = x where x is the amount of
winning. Find the expected utility from the lottery.
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- In the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?The injured football player Bad news everyone! There is 1 second left in the game, and Tom Brady has injured himself. The matrices below depict the relative probabilities of winning givenan offensive and a defensive play call. (The row player is the New England Patriots and the column player is the opponent.) How much has the all star's home team probability of winning decreased due to the injury? Pass uny Patriots D Pass .4, .6 D Run .9,.1 .8,.2 .5,.5 Pass Run Opponent D Pass D Run .06, .94 .32, .68 .8,.2 .5,.5In a final round of a MegaMillion TV show, a contestant has won $1 millionand has a chance of doubling the reward. If he loses his winnings drop to$500,000. The contestant thinks his chances of winning are 50%. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that will make his betprofitable? Show work
- Suppose that an individual is just willing to accept a gamble to win or lose $1000 if the probability ofwinning is 0.6. Suppose that the utility gained if the individual wins is 100 utils. What is expected gains/loss.Alice would be willing to pay up to £15 for a gamble giving a 35% chance of £50 and a 65% chance of £10. (a) What is the expected value of this gamble? Represent Alice's preference over risk in a large, suitably labelled graph. The graph should include Alice's expected utility from the gamble described above (b) Represent on the same graph the maximum amount that Alice would pay to remove the risk from this gamble.Players would draw a card from a standard 52 card deck. Whatever card they drew determined what they won. If they draw a face card (Jack, King, Queen) then they win $5. If they draw an Ace, they win $15. For all other cards, they win nothing. A. Fill out the probability distribution table with the probabilities of each possible outcome for this game. Round decimals to four places. x $15 $5 $0 P(x) B. What is the expected value of the distribution above? (Round to the nearest cent, two decimal places.) C. If players were charged $2 per game, would they make and average profit on the games over time, or would they take an average loss over time? D. If players were charged $3 per game, would they make and average profit on the games over time, or would they take an average loss over time?
- A risk-neutral plaintiff in a lawsuit must decide whether to settle a claim or go to trial. The defendants offer $50,000 to settle now. If the plaintiff does not settle, the plaintiff believes that the probability of winning at trial is 50% if the plaintiff wins, the amount awarded to the plaintiff is X Will the plaintif settle if x is $62,500? What if X-$250,000? What is the critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between setting and going to trial? it the plaintiff were risk averse instead of risk neutral, would this critical value of X be higher or lower? If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $62,500, then the plaintiff would settle If the amount to be awarded at trial with a win (X) were $250,000, then the plaintiff would not settle The critical value of X that would make the plaintiff indifferent between settling and going to trial is $ (Enter your response using rounded to wo decimal places)In a game, there are three values 1, 000, 2.500 and 5,000 and the cost of the game is 1, 500 . If each outcome has an equal probability of occurring, then what is the expected value of playing the game?A clothing manutacturer must decide which of two clothing lines to emphasze for the spring season, her usual line or a budget line Her success with each line depends on the sta Budget Line Usual Line Strong Economy 15,000 35,000 In-between Economy 18,000 28,000 Weak Economy 27,000 10,000 Economists believe that there is a 5% chance of a strong economy next year, a 75% chance of a weak economy, and a 20% chance of an in-between economy Use the payoff m O A. Emphasize the usual line O B. Wait and see O C. Emphasize the budget line
- 1. A dealer decides to sell a rare book by means of an English auction with a reservation price of 54. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, 90, 54, and 45, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue is approximately ______. 2. A seller knows that there are two bidders for the object he is selling. He believes that with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of 5 and the other has a buyer value of 10 and with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of 8 and the other has a buyer value of 15. He knows that bidders will want to buy the object so long as they can get it for their buyer value or less. He sells it in an English auction with a reserve price which he must…Charles is participating in an experiment. His payoff in the experiment is tied to his effort e doing a mundane task. There is also some risk involved by design-there is a chance p that Charles is going to get a fixed payment L regardless of his effort. Charles' payoff is thus: with probability p w.e with probability 1- p Charles has to pay a cost C, which increases with his effort. First, let us assume that Charles' utility is the expected payoff net of this cost: U(e) = pL + (1 – p)we – c(e) Derive the first order condition with respect to e. b. How doesp affect Charles' effort e? c. How does L affect e?A gym membership charges their current members a monthly fee on the 1" of the month. Monthly churn rate (the probability of a member ending their membership) is 4%. Profit from the monthly membership fee is $10 per member; and the recruitment cost (advertising and promotions) for a new member are $200. What is the per member expected profit to the gym?