Calculate expected values for large and small expansions. What should Dairy May Farms do? EV small expansion = $enter expected value for small expansions in dollars  EV large expansion = $enter expected value for large expansions in dollars  Company sould opt select an option                                                            expansion.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 30P
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Demand has grown at Dairy May Farms, and it is considering expanding. One option is to expand by purchasing a very large farm that will be able to meet expected future demand. Another option is to expand the current facility by a small amount now and take a wait-and-see attitude, with the possibility of a larger expansion in two years.
Management has estimated the following chances for demand:

  • The likelihood of demand being high is 0.80.
  • The likelihood of demand being low is 0.20.

Profits for each alternative have been estimated as follows:

  • Large expansion has an estimated profitability of either $51,600 or $23,600, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
  • Small expansion has a profitability of $13,800, assuming that demand is low.
  • Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the company expands at that point, the profitability is expected to be $41,900. If it does not expand further, the profitability is expected to be $12,950.

(b) Calculate expected values for large and small expansions. What should Dairy May Farms do?

EV small expansion = $enter expected value for small expansions in dollars 

EV large expansion = $enter expected value for large expansions in dollars 

Company sould opt select an option                                                            expansion.

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Cengage,