Applying the decision tree algorithm, determine and advice Koki Nkoana on the best decision to make?
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- An investor has patented a new device, and a bank is willing to lend the money to manufacture the device. Preliminary investigation establishes a suitable planning period of 5 years for the comparison of payoffs from this invention. According to the investor’s analysis, profit of $800,000 can be anticipated over the next 5 years if sales are strong; if sales are average, the investor can expect to make $200,000; and if sales are week, the investor expects to loss $50,000. Nationwide Enterprises, Inc. has offered to purchase the patent rights. Based on royalty arrangement, the inventor estimates that selling the patent rights may well bring a net profit of $400,000 if sales are strong, $70,000 if sales are average and $10,000 if sales are week. On the basis of extensive investigation of past experience with similar devices, the investor assigns the probabilities for strong, average, and week sales to be 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3 respectively. 1. Setup the payoff table for the inventor’s…An investor has patented a new device, and a bank is willing to lend the money to manufacture the device. Preliminary investigation establishes a suitable planning period of 5 years for the comparison of payoffs from this invention. According to the investor’s analysis, profit of $800,000 can be anticipated over the next 5 years if sales are strong; if sales are average, the investor can expect to make $200,000; and if sales are week, the investor expects to loss $50,000. Nationwide Enterprises, Inc. has offered to purchase the patent rights. Based on royalty arrangement, the inventor estimates that selling the patent rights may well bring a net profit of $400,000 if sales are strong, $70,000 if sales are average and $10,000 if sales are week. On the basis of extensive investigation of past experience with similar devices, the investor assigns the probabilities for strong, average, and week sales to be 0.2, 0.5, and 0.3 respectively. 1. Setup the payoff table for the inventor’s…If the contract annual interest rate on a $2,880,000 fixed rate loan that is fully amortizing over 20 years with equal monthly payments is 6.25%, what is the effective yield to the lender if the lender charges 1.5% as an origination fee, $288 for a credit report and $3,080 for an appraisal fee and the loan is repaid after ten years? a. 6.25% b. 6.51% c. 6.46% d. 6.49%
- James sold his home for $379,000. If the real estate commission was 5.5%, how much commission did he have to pay? O $20,845 to the listing broker. O $10,422.50 to the listing broker and $10,422.50 to the selling broker. O $45.845 to the listing agent. O $20.845 to the buyer's broker.What is the APR on a $700,000 fixed rate mortgage loan fully amortizing over 30 years if the stated annual interest rate is 5.5% and the lender charges 1.5% as an origination fee, $750 for an appraisal and $18 for a credit report? a.5.65% b.5.72% c.5.36% d. 5.5%psychic will tell you the sex of the unborn child from any photograph of the mother. Cost is $ 40. If the psychic guesses right he or she is going to keep all the money. But if psychic does not guess right he or she promises to give the $40 back and pay in addition $30 out of her pocket as a compensation for the wrong answer. Assume postage fees for the return mail are zero. Boy Probability is 0.51 and Girl Probability is 0.49. A) Suppose the psychic replies "boy" to all inquiries. In the worst case, everyone who has a girl will ask for her money back. Use the expected value equation to estimate the expected profit per inquiry. B) Suppose that the psychic replies "girl" to all inquiries. What is the expected profit per inquiry? C) Suppose the psychic chooses randomly the sex of the child. For example it may choose "boy" in all inquiries in one day and "girl" in the next day. What is the expected profit per inquiry in this case?
- A shopping center investor bought a 36,000 square foot shopping center in Calabasas, California with a 25-year fully amortizing fixed rate mortgage loan at a stated annual interest rate of 5.5%, a loan to value ratio of 80%, and a down payment of $600,000. What was the purchase price of the property? a.$750,000 b.$480,000 c.$2,400,000 d. $3,000,000The Parable of the Green A new housing development has lots of packed earth and weeds but no grass. Two neighbors make a wager on who will be the first to have a lush lawn. Mr. F knows that a lawn will not grow without grass seed, so he immediately buys the most expensive seed he can find because everyone knows that quality improves with price. Besides, he’ll recover the cost of the seed through his wager. Next, he stands knee-deep in his weeds and tosses the seed around his yard. Confident that he has a head start on his neighbor, who is not making much visible progress, he begins his next project. Ms. Slo Steady, having grown up in the country, proceeds to clear the lot, till the soil, and even alter the slope of the terrain to provide better drainage. She checks the soil’s pH, applies weed killer and fertilizer, and then distributes the grass seed evenly with a spreader. She applies a mulch cover and waters the lawn appropriately. She finishes several days after her neighbor, who…You are a corn producer. Today, May 1, you have planted corn and you expect a crop of over 1,500,000 bushels. You would like to sell the crop soon after the October harvest. You are fairly certain that prices are heading down, so you want to lock in a price for December delivery. The performance bond deposit of $1,000.00 per contract and possible performance bond calls will not cause you a cash-flow problem. You decide to sell three hundred December corn futures contracts (5,000 bushels each, or 1,500,000 bushels). The December futures price today is $5.6125 and the local forward cash for December is $5.2125. Brokerage fees for each contract is $25.00 round-turn. In December, futures prices have fallen to $5.6000 and cash prices to $5.2000. Date Cash Market Futures Market Basis May December Results In May do you take a long or short position in the futures market? In December, what do you do in the futures market?…
- Three college friends decided to buy a “fixer-upper” apartment building in Modesto, California after graduating from UC San Diego in 2020. They expected to achieve a significant appreciation on their investment after they remodeled and sold the property. At the time, they could finance the acquisition with either: (A) a 25-year fully amortizing fixed rate mortgage loan payable monthly from Bank of the West with a ten percent down payment and a 6.0% annual interest rate, or (B) a 25-year fully amortizing fixed rate mortgage loan payable monthly from Cathay Bank with a five percent down payment and a 6.25% annual interest rate. What is the effective annual interest rate on the additional amount borrowed if they took the loan from Cathay Bank? a. 12.59% b. 6.25% c. 9.99% d. 10.39%Alberto sold a lot. Data relating to the sale of the lot are as follows: Fair market value P10,000,000 12,000,000 6,000,000 Selling price Cost What are the amounts subject to the following 11. income taxBrandon is going to get a 3% commission on the sale of a property for $300,000. How much is Brandon's commission? $10,000 §9.000 $12,000 S30,000