a. If you bet $1 on each hand, what is the expected value to you of a single game? What is the house edge? b. If you played 150 games of blackjack in an evening, betting $1 on each hand, how much should you expect to win or lose? c. If you played 150 games of blackjack in an evening, betting $3 on each hand, how much should you expect to win or lose? d. If patrons bet $7,000,000 on blackjack in one evening, how much should the casino expect to earn? a. The expected value to you of a single game is $ (Type an integer or a decimal.)
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- In a final round of a MegaMillion TV show, a contestant has won $1 millionand has a chance of doubling the reward. If he loses his winnings drop to$500,000. The contestant thinks his chances of winning are 50%. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that will make his betprofitable? Show workIn the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?.What is the probability of getting a king if a card is drawn from a pack of 52 cards?
- how do you do you find the expected payback for this problem? Find the expected payback for a game in which you bet $1010 on any number from 00 to 399.399. If your number comes up, you get $400400.3. Find the saddle point, if it exists, for the following game. (b) Solve the following game by using the principle of dominance and find the probabilities of strategies for each player and the value of the game. Player B Player A II III IV V 3 4 4 II 2 4 III 4 4 IV 4 4 20 2420 87602. Consider the following Bayesian game with two players. Both players move simultaneously and player 1 can choose either H or L, while player 2's options are G, M, and D. With probability 1/2 the payoffs are given by "Game 1" : GMD H 1,2 1,0 1,3 L 2,4 0,0 0,5 and with probability 1/2 the payoffs are according to "Game 2" : G |M|D H 1,2 1,3 1,0 L 2,4 0,5 0,0 (a) Find the Nash Equilibria when neither player knows which game is actually played. (b) Assume now that player 2 knows which one among the two games is actually being played. Check that the game has a unique Bayesian Nash Equilibrium.
- 2. Kier, in The scenario, wants to determine how each of the 3 companies will decide on possible new investments. He was able to determine the new investment pay off for each of the three choices as well as the probability of the two types of market. If a company will launch product 1, it will gain 50,000 if the market is successful and lose 50,000 if the market is a failure. If a company will launch product 2, it will gain 25,000 if the market is successful and lose 25,000 if the market will fail. If a company decides not to launch any of the product, it will not be affected whether the market will succeed or fail. There is a 56% probability that the market will succeed and 44% probability that the market will fail. What will be the companies decision based on EMV? What is the decision of each company based on expected utility value?3:51 9 M 23 The mixed strategy Nash equilibrium of the following * game is Player 2 R. L Player 1 U 2,2 3,1 D 3.-1 0.0 U with 3/4 probability and D with 1/4 probability for player 1; L with1/2 probability and probability for player 2 with 1/2 U with 1/2 probability and D with 1/2 probability for player 1; L with1/4 probability and R with 3/4 probability for player 2 U with 1/4 probability and D with 3/4 probability for player 1; L with1/2 probability and R with 1/2 probability for player 2 O None of the above. U with 1/2 probability and D with 1/2 probability for player 1; L with3/4 probability and R with 1/4 probability for player 27. Suppose the only game in town involves flipping a fair coin (so Heads and Tails are equally likely), with a $x bet. If Heads comes up, the payoff is $0.9x; if Tails comes up, you lose the $x. You have $10,000, and must win at least $5,000 by tomorrow morning to pay off a debt to a mean dude. a. Compute the likelihood of winning at least $5000 by making a single bet of $10,000. b. Compute the likelihood of winning at least $1000 by playing the game 10,0000 times and betting a dollar each time. What is the likelihood of not losing money? Message learned?
- 1. A dealer decides to sell a rare book by means of an English auction with a reservation price of 54. There are two bidders. The dealer believes that there are only three possible values, 90, 54, and 45, that each bidder’s willingness to pay might take. Each bidder has a probability of 1/3 of having each of these willingnesses to pay, and the probabilities for each of the two bidders are independent of the other’s valuation. Assuming that the two bidders bid rationally and do not collude, the dealer’s expected revenue is approximately ______. 2. A seller knows that there are two bidders for the object he is selling. He believes that with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of 5 and the other has a buyer value of 10 and with probability 1/2, one has a buyer value of 8 and the other has a buyer value of 15. He knows that bidders will want to buy the object so long as they can get it for their buyer value or less. He sells it in an English auction with a reserve price which he must…3. Suppose we play the following game. I give you $100 for your initial bankroll. At each time n, you decide how much of your current wealth to bet. You cannot borrow money. You can only play with the money I gave you in the beginning or any money that you have won so far. The game is simple. At each time n ≥ 1, you decide the amount to bet. I will roll a fair die. If the die comes up 1,2,3,..., or 5, you win; if the die comes up 6, then you lose. IOW, if you bet $10 on the first roll, you will either have $90 or $110 after the first roll. (a) Suppose you wish to maximize your profit on the first roll. How much should you bet? (Most of you will get this wrong.) (b) What is the expected profit on the first roll if your bet is b with 0 ≤ b ≤ 100? (c) Suppose you wish to maximize your expected profit on the first roll. How much should you bet? (d) Suppose you wish to maximize your expected profit betting on the nth roll. How much of your current wealth do you bet? (e) Let X₂, be your…1. What is the expected value of playing this game ? a. The player repeatedly rolls a six - side d die until it comes up 6. b. When the die comes up 6 , the player receives a payoff, and the game ends. The player get s precise ly one payof f. c. The initial payoff is $6, and it increases by 20%. The f irst roll payoff is $6 ; the second roll payoff is $7.20 (1.2*$6) ; the third roll payoff is $8.64 (1.2*$7.20), and so on. What is the expected value of playing this game?