A software developer makes 175 phone calls to its current customers. There is an 8 percent chance of reaching a given customer (instead of a busy signal, no answer, or answering machine). The normal approximation of the probability of reaching at least 20 customers is Multiple Choice .022 .007 .063 .937
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A software developer makes 175 phone calls to its current customers. There is an 8 percent chance of reaching a given customer (instead of a busy signal, no answer, or answering machine). The normal approximation of the probability of reaching at least 20 customers is
Multiple Choice
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.022
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.007
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.063
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.937
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- The owner of a firm must hire a manager to launch a new product. The new product can be successful and generate a revenue of 5000 or fail and generate a revenue of 1000. The probability of succ success is 0.7 (and hence the probability of failure is 0.3). If the manager exerts low effort (e=e,) then the probability of success is 0.2 (and hence the probability of failure is 0.8). The manager's utility effort chosen by the manager, with D(e) = 10 and D(e)-o. The manager's reservation utility is -40 The wage paid by the owner to the manager is the owner's only cost. The owner is risk neutral. If the owner could observe the manager's effort and would want the manager to exert high effort, what contract would he offer to the manager? What is the own Assume from now on that the manager's effort is unobservable. Suppose that the owner still wants to ensure that the manager accepts the proposed contract an this to happen. c) a)? a) b) It can be shown that the constraints in point b) must be…Managers of the restaurant, NicePizzeria@Nola, have to plan for the number of pizzas they want to make at the beginning of each day. Based on market research, the managers know the daily demand can only be one of the three levels: 30, 40 or 50 pizzas. Also, the probabilities of getting a daily demand of 30, 40, 50 pizzas are 0.3, 0.4, 0.3 respectively. The managers decide that their tentative daily supply of pizza should also be one of the three levels: 30, 40 or 50 pizzas. Each pizza costs $3 to make and the price is $8 per pizza. Note: The profit for each pizza sold is $5. For the ones supplied but not sold, the profit is -$3. Fill in the following profit table (hint: use two-way table ) and use the profit table to answer the questions. Three demand levels 30 40 50 30 Three supply 40 levels 50 1) What is the maximin supply level? 2) What is the maximum expected profit (across three supply levels)?The owner of Tastee Cookies needs to decide whether to lease a small, medium, or large new retail outlet. She estimates that monthly profits will vary with demand for her cookies as follows: SIZE OFOUTLET DEMAND LOW HIGH Small $ 1,000 1,000 Medium 500 2,500 Large 0 3,000 For what range of probability that demand will be high, will she decide to lease the medium facility?
- using 'standard Normal Table ' , calculate the following probabilities. 1. Pr(z < -1.12) 2. Pr(z >2.32) 3.pr(1.22 < z >2.53) 4.pr(-3.22 < z < 0.22) 5.pr(-2.36 < z < -0.50)Question 3 a) Grace Floral Shop sells several types of roses for all occasions. It is known that 43% of (i) (ii) (iii) the roses that is sold by Grace Floral Shop are Eden Roses. 12 roses are ordered to put in a bouquet Stating its parameter(s), what is the probability distribution of this variable? State the conditions that influence your choice of distribution. Calculate the probability that at most 2 of the roses were Eden Roses. b) The number of telephone calls coming into Grace Floral Shop to place orders averages 3 per minute. (i) (ii) Stating its parameter(s), what is the probability distribution of this variable? Compute the probability that 5 calls will arrive per minute. (iii) Compute the probability that 3 or more calls will arrive in a 3-minute interval?Suppose Eman has an 85% chance of passing each time he takes a quiz. What is the probability that he passes on the first three quizzes but not on the fourth?
- The closing price of Martin's Sporting Goods Inc. common stock is uniformly distributed between $25 and $36 per share. What is the probability that the stock price will be more than $32?A bakery would like you to recommend how many loaves of its famous marble rye bread to bake at the beginning of the day. Each loaf costs the bakery $2.00 and can be sold for $7.00. Leftover loaves at the end of each day are donated to charity. Research has shown that the probabilities for demands of 25, 50, and 75 loaves are 30%, 20%, and 50%, respectively. Make a recommendation for the bakery to bake 25, 50, or 75 loaves each morning. Find the expected monetary value when baking 25 loaves. EMV=$(Type an integer or a decimal.) Find the expected monetary value when baking 50 loaves. EMV = $(Type an integer or a decimal.) Find the expected monetary value when baking 75 loaves. EMV = $ (Type an integer or a decimal.) Make a recommendation for the bakery to bake 25, 50, or 75 loaves each morning. The bakery should bake loaves of bread every morning. O 25 50 75 EIndustry standards suggest that 12 percent of new vehicles require warranty service within the first year. University Toyota in Morgantown, WV sold 10 Toyotas yesterday. What is the probability that exactly one of these vehicles will require warranty service?
- The probability that it will rain on any given day is 0.20, and the probability is independent from day to day. You are trying to decide whether or not to make a tee time tomorrow to play golf. This requires a commitment on your part of turning down, say, movie tickets in favor of playing golf. If you accept the tickets, you also make the commitment not to go golfing. There is a weather forecast that signals whether it will rain tomorrow or not. There is a 0.80 probability that it rains when there is a "rainy" forecast and a 0.125 probability of rain when there is a "sunny" forecast. The overall probability of getting a "rainy" forecast is 0.111. Assume you are risk neutral. You place the following monetary values on the potential outcomes: a sunny day at the golf course a rainy day at the movies a rainy day at home $95 $20 -$18 a sunny day at $1 the movies a. If you have no weather forecast, evaluate the expected value of planning to golf and planning to go to the movies. What is the…The probability that it will rain on any given day is 0.20, and the probability is independent from day to day. You are trying to decide whether or not to make a tee time tomorrow to play golf. This requires a commitment on your part of turning down, say, movie tickets in favor of playing golf. If you accept the tickets, you also make the commitment not to go golfing. There is a weather forecast that signals whether it will rain tomorrow or not. There is a 0.80 probability that it rains when there is a "rainy" forecast and a 0.125 probability of rain when there is a "sunny" forecast. The overall probability of getting a "rainy" forecast is 0.111. Assume you are risk neutral. You place the following monetary values on the potential outcomes: a sunny day at $95 the golf course a rainy day at the movies a rainy day at home a sunny day at the movies $20 -$18 $1You work at a mechanic shop. 40% of cars that come in have a flat tire. If there are 50 cars in the shop, what is the probability that more than 30 have a flat tire? Round to three decimal points.
