A manufacturer of leather goods must decide whether to expand his plant capacity no or wait at least another year. His advisors tell him that if he expands now and economic conditions remain good, there will be a profit of $240,000 during the next fiscal year; if he expands now and there is a recession, there will be a loss of $40,000; if he waits at least another year and economic conditions remain good, there will be a profit of $100,000; and if he waits at least another year and there is a recession, there will be a small loss of $8,000. What should the manufacturer decide to do if he wants to minimize the expected loss during the next fiscal year and he feels that the odds are 3 to 2 that there will be a recession?

Microeconomic Theory
12th Edition
ISBN:9781337517942
Author:NICHOLSON
Publisher:NICHOLSON
Chapter17: Capital And Time
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 17.2P
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A manufacturer of leather goods must decide
whether to expand his plant capacity no or
wait at least another year. His advisors tell
him that if he expands now and economic
conditions remain good, there will be a profit
of $240,000 during the next fiscal year; if he
expands now and there is a recession, there
will be a loss of $40,000; if he waits at least
another year and economic conditions remain
good, there will be a profit of $100,000; and if
he waits at least another year and there is a
recession, there will be a small loss of $8,000.
What should the manufacturer decide to do if
he wants to minimize the expected loss
during the next fiscal year and he feels that
the odds are 3 to 2 that there will be a
recession?
Transcribed Image Text:A manufacturer of leather goods must decide whether to expand his plant capacity no or wait at least another year. His advisors tell him that if he expands now and economic conditions remain good, there will be a profit of $240,000 during the next fiscal year; if he expands now and there is a recession, there will be a loss of $40,000; if he waits at least another year and economic conditions remain good, there will be a profit of $100,000; and if he waits at least another year and there is a recession, there will be a small loss of $8,000. What should the manufacturer decide to do if he wants to minimize the expected loss during the next fiscal year and he feels that the odds are 3 to 2 that there will be a recession?
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