A driver's wealth $100,000 includes a car of $20,000. To install a car alarm costs the driver $1,750. The probability that the car is stolen is 0.2 when the car does not have an alarm and 0.1 when the car does have an alarm. Assume the driver's von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function is U(W) = ln(W). Suppose the driver is deciding between the following three options: (a) purchase no car insurance, do not install car alarm; (b) purchase fair insurance to replace the car, do not install car alarm; and (c) purchase no car insurance, install car alarm. Of these three options, the driver prefers: A. option (a). B. option (b). C. option (c). D. options (a) and (b). E. options (a) and (c). F. options (b) and (c). G. all options equally. H. none of these options.

A driver's wealth $100,000 includes a car of $20,000. To install a car alarm costs the driver $1,750. The probability that the car is stolen is 0.2 when the car does not have an alarm and 0.1 when the car does have an alarm. Assume the driver's von Neumann-Morgenstern utility function is U(W) = ln(W). Suppose the driver is deciding between the following three options: (a) purchase no car insurance, do not install car alarm; (b) purchase fair insurance to replace the car, do not install car alarm; and (c) purchase no car insurance, install car alarm. Of these three options, the driver prefers: A. option (a). B. option (b). C. option (c). D. options (a) and (b). E. options (a) and (c). F. options (b) and (c). G. all options equally. H. none of these options.

Microeconomic Theory

12th Edition

ISBN:9781337517942

Author:NICHOLSON

Publisher:NICHOLSON

Chapter7: Uncertainty

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 7.3P

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A driver's wealth $100,000 includes a car of $20,000. To install a car alarm costs the driver $1,750. The probability that the car is stolen is 0.2 when the car does not have an alarm and 0.1 when the car does have an alarm. Assume the driver's von Neumann- Morgenstern utility function is U(W) = In(W). Suppose the driver is deciding between the following three options: (a) purchase no car insurance, do not install car alarm; (b) purchase fair insurance to replace the car, do not install car alarm; and (c) purchase no car insurance, install car alarm. Of these three options, the driver prefers: A. option (a). B. option (b). C.option (c). D.options (a) and (b). E. options (a) and (c). F. options (b) and (c). G.all options equally. H.none of these options.
Jacob is considering buying hurricane insurance. Currently, without insurance, he has a wealth of $80,000. A hurricane ripping through his home will reduce his wealth by $60,000. The chance of this happening is 1%. An insurance company will offer to compensate Jacob for 80% of the damage that any tornado imposes, provided he pays a premium. Jacob’s utility function for wealth is given by U(w) = In (w). (A) What is the maximum amount Jacob is willing to pay for this insurance? Show work and explain.
To go from Location 1 to Location 2, you can either take a car or take transit. Your utility function is: U= -1Xminutes -5Xdollars +0.13Xcar (i.e. 0.13 is the car constant) Car= 15 minutes and $8 Transit= 40 minutes and $4 What is your probability of taking transit given the conditions above? What is your probability of taking transit if the number of buses on the route were doubled, meaning the headways are halved? Remember to include units.
Amy likes to go fast in her new Mustang GT. Their utility function over wealth is v(w) where w is wealth. If Amy goes fast she gets an increase in utility equal to F. But when Amy drives fast, she is more likely to crash: when she drives fast the probability of a crash is 10%, but when she obeys the speed limit, the probability of a crash is only 5%. Amy's car is worth $2000 unless she crashes, in which case it is worth $0. If Amy doesn't have insurance, driving fast isn't worth the risk, so she will alway obey the speed limit. If Amy is offered an insurance contract with full insurance for a premium P with the deductible D, which of the inequalites below is her incentive compatibility constraint that makes sure that she will still obey the speed limit even when she is fully insured? 0.05U(2000 – P – D) + 0.95U(2000 – P) > 0.05U(0 – P – D + 2000) + 0.95U(2000 – P) 0.05U(2000 – P – D) + 0.95U(2000 – P) > 0.1(U(2000 – P – D) + F) + 0.90(U(2000 – P) + F) 0.05U(2000 – P – D) + 0.95U(2000)…
Consider a household that possesses $200,000 worth of valuables such as jewelry. This household faces a 0.02 probability of a burglary, where she would lose jewelry worth $70,000. Suppose it can buy an insurance policy for $15,000 that would fully reimburse the $70,000. The household's utility function is U(X) = 4X⁰.5 Should the household buy this insurance policy? The household should not buy this policy. What is the actuarially fair price for the insurance policy? If the insurance is fair, then the cost of the insurance policy is $ 1400. (Enter your response rounded to two decimal places.) What is the most the household is willing to pay for an insurance policy that fully covers it against loss? The most the household would pay for such a policy (p) is S (Enter your response rounded to two decimal places.)
Gary likes to gamble. Donna offers to bet him $31 on the outcome of a boat race. If Gary's boat wins, Donna would give him $31. If Gary's boat does not win, Gary would give her $31. Gary's utility function is p1x^21+p2x^22, where P₁ and p2 are the probabilities of events 1 and 2 and where x₁ and x₂ are his wealth if events 1 and 2 occur respectively. Gary's total wealth is currently only $80 and he believes that the probability that he will win the race is 0.3. Which of the following is correct? (please submit the number corresponding to the correct answer). 1. Taking the bet would reduce his expected utility. 2. Taking the bet would leave his expected utility unchanged. 3. Taking the bet would increase his expected utility. 4. There is not enough information to determine whether taking the bet would increase or decrease his expected utility. 5. The information given in the problem is self-contradictory.
Gary likes to gamble. Donna offers to bet him $31 on the outcome of a boat race. If Gary’s boat wins, Donna would give him $31. If Gary’s boat does not win, Gary would give her $31. Gary’s utility function is p1x^21+p2x^22, where p1 and p2 are the probabilities of events 1 and 2 and where x1 and x2 are his wealth if events 1 and 2 occur respectively. Gary’s total wealth is currently only $80 and he believes that the probability that he will win the race is 0.3. Which of the following is correct? (please submit the number corresponding to the correct answer). Taking the bet would reduce his expected utility. Taking the bet would leave his expected utility unchanged. Taking the bet would increase his expected utility. There is not enough information to determine whether taking the bet would increase or decrease his expected utility. The information given in the problem is self-contradictory.
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Suppose that Mike, with utility function, u(x) = v x+5000, is offered a gamble where a coin is flipped twice, and if the coin comes up heads both times (probability - .25), he gets $40,000. Would he prefer this gamble or $7,500 for sure? What is his Certainty Equivalent?
Consider the following utility functions: U1(x) = e*; U2(x) = x°, where r > 0 and BE (0,1); U3(x) = 2x + 10. For each function decide whether it belongs to a risk- neutral, risk-averse or risk-loving decision-maker.
Max Pentridge is thinking of starting a pinball palace near a large Melbourne university. His utility is given by u(W) = 1 - (5,000/W), where W is his wealth. Max's total wealth is $10,000. With probability p = 0.9 the palace will succeed and Max's wealth will grow from $10,000 to $x. With probability 1 - p the palace will be a failure and he’ll lose $5,000, so that his wealth will be just $5,000. What is the smallest value of x that would be sufficient to make Max want to invest in the pinball palace rather than have a wealth of $10,000 with certainty? ____ (Please round your final answer to the whole dollar, if necessary)
Suppose that you graduate from college next year and you have two career options: 1) You will start a job in an investment bank paying a $100,000 annual salary. 2) You will start a Ph.D. in economics and, as a student, you will receive a $20,000 salary. You are bad with decisions, so you are letting a friend of yours decide for you by flipping a coin. The probabilities of options 1 and 2 are, therefore, each 50%. a) Illustrate, using indifference curves, your preferences regarding consumption choices in the two different states of the world. Assume that you are risk-averse. [Include also the 45 degrees line in your figure] b) Now show how the indifference curves would change if you were substantially more risk averse than before. Explain. c) Now show the indifference curves if you are risk neutral and if you are risk loving. d) Show your expected utility preferences from point a) mathematically.

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	A.	option (a).
	B.	option (b).
	C.	option (c).
	D.	options (a) and (b).
	E.	options (a) and (c).
	F.	options (b) and (c).
	G.	all options equally.
	H.	none of these options.