2. Individual Problems 17-2 You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $3 million to $5 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $2,250,000. You believe you have a 10% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is $ you Given that this is play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?) (Hint: At
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- Assume Person A is offered the following game: If they want to participate in the game, theywill need to pay £5. If they participate, they can choose between Option A and Option B.Option A consists of spinning a roulette wheel with 37 different numbers (18 red, 18 black,and 1 green). If the outcome is red, the participant receives £10 and £0 otherwise. Option B isa fair coin flip that yields £5 when heads comes up and £10 when tails comes up.(a) What is the expected value of Option A?(ii) What is the expected value of Option B?(iii) What is the expected value of participating in the game and choosingOption A?(iv) What is the expected value of participating in the game and choosingOption B?(v) How much would the game need to cost to make it a fair game when youchoose Option A?(vi) How much would the game need to cost to make it a fair game when youchoose Option B?(b) Person A chooses to participate in the above described game. Which of thefollowing options can be true regarding…Subject 2 A bottle company ALPHA, is considering creating a new bottle of 0.25 lt. To decide whether to invest in this projector not, they performed market research that costed €5,000. The results indicated two possible scenarios that depend on the competitor's reaction to create a similar product and on the percentage of the faithful customers of ALPHA. ScenarioA has a 45% chanceto be realized, while scenarioB has a probability of 55%. For the project's realization the company must purchase specialmachinery that cost €80,000, while transportation and installation costs amount to €2,000. The useful life of the project is two years, and the machinery can be sold at the end of the useful life for €30,000.Table 1 presents the pertinenteconomic data. At the end of the second year the working capital is going to be recaptured. The tax rate is 25%, the weighted average cost of capital is 10% and the company fully depreciates fixed assets for tax purposes, using the straight-line depreciation…You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $1 million to $3 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $750,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is [$ blank]. Given that this is positive [blank (positive/negative)], you should [blank (should/should not)] play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is [blank]. (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)
- In a final round of a MegaMillion TV show, a contestant has won $1 millionand has a chance of doubling the reward. If he loses his winnings drop to$500,000. The contestant thinks his chances of winning are 50%. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that will make his betprofitable? Show workIn the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?Lela must decide to go on a winter trip to norway with the hope of seeing northern light would yield a utility level of 2,000 but she has only a 50% chance that they will show during the days of her trip. making the trip without seeing the lights would yield a utility level of 100 and there is 50 % chance of this happening. what is lela's expected utilty if show goes on the trip? a. 2,100 b.1,050 c.42 d.950
- Givenu(x)=x0.5 Lottery A Probability 0.50 0.25 0.25 Outcome 64 16 0 For automatic grading, give all numerical answers to exactly two decimal places. Do not include currency signs 1) What is the expected value? (Give the answer as 36.00, not 36) 2) What is the expected utility? 3) What is the certainty equivalent? (Number only) 4) What is the risk premium? 5) Would this person rather receive 20 for sure than play Lottery A? (Answer should be Y or N for auto-grading to work) 6) (Harder) In many applications of expected utility, it is possible to lose money. The usual way of handling this is to interpret utility in terms of final wealth. Suppose it costs money to play this lottery. If starting wealth is 100, calculate the expected utility of playing lottery A if the price of playing is 15. Your answer should be to two decimal places. (Note: calculating the certainty equivalent of the lottery would be a little different than we've done in class. Squaring your EU result would give…1 . Individual Problems 17-2 You're a contestant on a TV game show. In the final round of the game, if contestants answer a question correctly, they will increase their current winnings of $3 million to $4 million. If they are wrong, their prize is decreased to $2,250,000. You believe you have a 25% chance of answering the question correctly. Ignoring your current winnings, your expected payoff from playing the final round of the game show is . Given that this is , you play the final round of the game. (Hint: Enter a negative sign if the expected payoff is negative.) The lowest probability of a correct guess that would make the guessing in the final round profitable (in expected value) is . (Hint: At what probability does playing the final round yield an expected value of zero?)Microeconomics Wilfred’s expected utility function is px1^0.5+(1−p)x2^0.5, where p is the probability that he consumes x1 and 1 - p is the probability that he consumes x2. Wilfred is offered a choice between getting a sure payment of $Z or a lottery in which he receives $2500 with probability p = 0.4 and $3700 with probability 1 - p. Wilfred will choose the sure payment if Z > CE and the lottery if Z < CE, where the value of CE is equal to ___ (please round your final answer to two decimal places if necessary)
- 1. What is the expected value of playing this game ? a. The player repeatedly rolls a six - side d die until it comes up 6. b. When the die comes up 6 , the player receives a payoff, and the game ends. The player get s precise ly one payof f. c. The initial payoff is $6, and it increases by 20%. The f irst roll payoff is $6 ; the second roll payoff is $7.20 (1.2*$6) ; the third roll payoff is $8.64 (1.2*$7.20), and so on. What is the expected value of playing this game?8) Three decision makers have assessed utilities for the problem whose payoff table appearsbelow.s1 s2 s3d1 500 100 -400d2 200 150 100d3 -100 200 300probability.2 .6 .2Indifference Probability for PersonPayoff A B C300 .95 .68 .45200 .94 .64 .32150 .91 .62 .28100 .89 .60 .22-100 .75 .45 .10a. Plot the utility function for each decision maker.b. Characterize each decision maker's attitude toward risk.c. Which decision will each person prefer?Johnny is "paid" by his parents $2o if he gets a grade A, $10 if he gets a grade B, whereas he has to pay his parents back $5 if he gets a grade other than A or B. On average 20% of the grades he gets are A, and 30% are grades B. What is the expected value of what he "earns" per grade ? What is the expected value of what he "earns" at school weekly if on average he gets five grades a week ? How long should Jim save until he collects enough money to buy a pair of brand new Hi-Fi headphones that cost $225?