Statistics – Lab Week 4
Name:
MATH221
Statistical Concepts: * Probability * Binomial Probability Distribution
Calculating Binomial Probabilities
* Open a new MINITAB worksheet.
* We are interested in a binomial experiment with 10 trials. First, we will make the probability of a success ¼. Use MINITAB to calculate the probabilities for this distribution. In column C1 enter the word ‘success’ as the variable name (in the shaded cell above row 1. Now in that same column, enter the numbers zero through ten to represent all possibilities for the number of successes. These numbers will end up in rows 1 through 11 in that first column. In column C2 enter the words ‘one fourth’ as the variable name. Pull up Calc >
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Paste those three scatter plots below.
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Calculating Descriptive Statistics
* Open the class survey results that were entered into the MINITAB worksheet.
2. Calculate descriptive statistics for the variable where students flipped a coin 10 times. Pull up Stat > Basic Statistics > Display Descriptive Statistics and set Variables: to the coin. The output will show up in your Session Window. Type the mean and the standard deviation here.
Mean: 5.00Standard deviation: 3.22 |
Short Answer Writing Assignment – Both the calculated binomial probabilities and the descriptive statistics from the class database will be used to answer the following questions.
3. List the probability value for each possibility in the binomial experiment that was calculated in MINITAB with the probability of a success being ½. (Complete sentence not necessary)
P(x=0) | 0.0009766 | | P(x=6) | 0.205078 | P(x=1) | 0.0097656 | | P(x=7) | 0.117188 | P(x=2) | 0.0439453 | | P(x=8) | 0.0439453 | P(x=3) | 0.117188 | | P(x=9) | 0.0097656 | P(x=4) | 0.205078 | | P(x=10) | 0.0009766 | P(x=5) | 0.246094 | | | |
4. Give the probability for the following based on the MINITAB calculations with the probability of a success being ½. (Complete sentence not necessary)
P(x≥1) | 0.99902 | | P(x<0) | | P(x>1) | 0.0097656 | | P(x≤4) | 0.376953 | P(4<x ≤7) | 0.568359 | | P(x<4 or x≥7) | 0.2265625 |
5.
31. Consider the following distribution and random numbers: If a simulation begins with the first random number, what would the first simulation value would be __________.
Estimate the indicated probability by using the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution.
For parts b, c, and d in this problem all variables remain the same except the one specifically changed. Each question is independent of the others.)
A significant number of computation and permutation problems were answered incorrectly. Although I understand the basic equation, I am having difficulty when applying them to real world situations. Additional practice is required.
2. Calculate the expected rate of return on each of the five investment alternatives listed in Exhibit 13.1 (p. 106). Based solely on expected returns, which of the potential investments appears best?
Assume that (i) if the trial proceeds, it is excepted to last at least one month and to result in one of two possible outcomes in terms of the price per share established in court; the $273,000, being claimed by the plaintiffs, or the $55,400 being defended by Herbert Kohler; (ii) Kohler estimates the probabilities of these two outcomes at 30% and 70% respectively.
2. Calculate the expected rate of return on each of the five investment alternatives listed in Exhibit 13.1. Based solely on expected returns, which of the potential investments appear best?
The probability rates are calculated from a rate of 0 to 1 and the combined rate of each probability equal a total of 1.
3. This spinner is spun 36 times. The spinner landed on A 6 times, on B 21 times, and on C 9 times. Compute the empirical probability that the spinner will land on B.
, and each with its own Boolean-valued outcome: a random variable containing single bit of information: success/yes/true/one (with probabilityp) or failure/no/false/zero (with probability q = 1 − p). A single success/failure experiment is also called a Bernoulli trial or Bernoulli experiment and a sequence of outcomes is called a Bernoulli process; for a single trial, i.e., n = 1, the binomial distribution is a Bernoulli distribution. The binomial distribution is the basis for the popular binomial test of statistical significance.
17. The probabilities of the events A and B are .20 and.30, respectively. The probability that
a − 2b ≤ 2, a, b ≥ 0. An optimal solution is: (A) a=4, b=0, (B) a=0, b=1, (C) a=3,b=1/2, (D) None of the above. ∫ −1 1 22. The value of −4 x dx equals, (A) ln 4, (B) Undefined, (C) ln(−4) − ln(−1), (D) None of the above. 23. Given x ≥ y ≥ z, and x + y + z = 9, the maximum value of x + 3y + 5z is (A) 27, (B) 42, (C) 21, (D) 18. 24. A car with six sparkplugs is known to have two malfunctioning ones. If two plugs are pulled out at random, what is the probability of getting at least one malfunctioning plug. (A) 1/15, (B) 7/15, (C) 8/15, (D) 9/15. 25. Suppose there is a multiple choice test which has 20 questions.
Calculate the expected rate of return on each alternative and fill in the blanks on the row for r(hat) or the expected rate of return in the previous table.