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The Cohort Component Method For Many State And Local Governments

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3.5 Cohort-Component Method
One way to Project an area’s population is the cohort-component method, which is used for many state and local governments. This method offers in depth demographic statistics on why and how the population changes. There are 2 steps in this method. The first is to separate the population into groups of age and sex. The second step is to implement fertility, mortality, and migration rates to each distinct group. There are some things that have to be taken into account for this method before computing anything. The first is that all of the age groups have to be the same in that the years in the cohorts (n) are matching. The second is that the amount of years in the projection intervals (z) should identify with the number of years in the cohorts (n). The last one is that all the rates used in this model have to be altered to show five-year projection periods.
3.5.1 The Mortality Component
The first thing we do is calculate the female population likely to survive until the year 2005. There are two things that can happen which rely on the age-specific survival rate (nsrx). The populations for females in the initial year which is 2000 (nFx 2000) can move in the start of 2005 to the following age cohort (n SFx+z 2005) or will live from 2000 to 2005 (n DFx 2000-2005). The first calculation is to multiply the launch year of the female population in 2000 by its age-specific survival rate. n SFx+z 2005 =( nFx 2000 )( nsrx )

• nFx 2000 is the female

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