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Chapter 5 with Solutions

Satisfactory Essays

Chapter 5
A firm has three investment alternatives. Payoffs are in thousands of dollars.

a) Using the expected value approach, which decision is preferred?

b) For the lottery having a payoff of $100,000 with probability p and $0 with probability (1 - p), two decision makers expressed the following indifference probabilities. Find the most preferred decision for each decision maker using the expected utility approach.

c) Why don’t decision makers A and B select the same decision alternative?

Difference in attitude toward risk. Decision maker A tends to avoid risk, while decision maker B tends to take a risk for the opportunity (Risk taker) of a large payoff. (Can be check by plotting the values).
Q#2. Alexander …show more content…

(Note: The smaller times should reflect higher utilities.) Lottery: p = probability of a 45 minute travel time (best time will be 45 min =10 and the worst time is 90 min=0 ) (1 - p) = probability of a 90 minute travel time

c) Use the lottery of part (b) and assume that the decision maker expresses indifference probabilities of | Route Open | Route Delays | Route A d1 | 8.0 | 6.0 | Route B d2 | 10.0 (45) | 0.0 (90) |
U(60)=.80*10+.20*0=8.0 and U(70)=.60*10+.30*0=6.0

What route should this decision maker select? Is the decision maker a risk taker or a risk-avoider?

Q#4. Three decision makers have assessed utilities for the following decision problem (payoff in dollars):

The indifference probabilities are as follows:

a) Plot the utility function for money for

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